换肤

主营介绍

  • 主营业务:

    以太阳能电池组件的研发、生产、销售为主,涵盖了光伏电站EPC、光伏电站运营、储能领域等。

  • 产品类型:

    太阳能电池及组件、太阳能电站EPC与转让、光伏电池封装胶膜(EVA等)、光伏电站电费收入、灯具及辅助光伏产品、多晶硅

  • 产品名称:

    太阳能电池及组件 、 太阳能电站EPC与转让 、 光伏电池封装胶膜(EVA等) 、 光伏电站电费收入 、 灯具及辅助光伏产品 、 多晶硅

  • 经营范围:

    硅太阳能电池组件和部件、电器、灯具、橡塑制品、电子产品、光电子器件的制造、加工;太阳能发电工程设计、施工、承包;电力、新能源、节能相关技术的研发、转让、咨询、服务;合同能源管理及咨询服务;设备、设施租赁;太阳能发电;自营和代理货物与技术的进出口,但国家限定经营或禁止进出口的货物与技术除外。

运营业务数据

最新公告日期:2024-08-27 
业务名称 2024-06-30 2023-12-31 2023-06-30 2022-12-31 2021-12-31
产能:在建产能:太阳能组件(MW) 6000.00 6000.00 - - -
产能:太阳能组件(MW) 3.50万 3.50万 - - -
产能:计划产能:太阳能组件(MW) 1.10万 1.10万 - - -
产量:太阳能组件(MW) 7953.80 2.13万 - - -
销量:太阳能组件(MW) 7916.34 1.90万 - - -
产量:工业(光伏电站)(MW) - 1123.00 - - -
销量:工业(光伏电站)(MW) - 275.00 - - -
销量:工业(太阳能组件)(MW) - 1.90万 8371.57 - -
产量:工业(太阳能组件)(MW) - 1.91万 1.05万 - -
销量:中国(组件)(MW) - 1.02万 - - -
销量:美国(组件)(MW) - 1444.93 - - -
销量:巴西(组件)(MW) - 1204.44 - - -
销售收入:中国(组件)(元) - 130.50亿 - - -
销售收入:巴西(组件)(元) - 17.49亿 - - -
销售收入:美国(组件)(元) - 41.55亿 - - -
销量:组件:境外(GW) - 8.84 - - -
专利数量:授权专利(项) - 172.00 - 196.00 -
销量:工业(多晶硅)(KG) - - 484.86万 - -
产能:工业(多晶硅)(KG) - - 1200.00万 1200.00万 -
产能:工业(太阳能组件)(MW) - - 2.50万 2.50万 -
产量:工业(多晶硅)(KG) - - 562.70万 - -
产能:在建产能:工业(太阳能组件)(MW) - - 1.60万 1.60万 -
产能:计划产能:工业(多晶硅)(KG) - - 1.50亿 1.50亿 -
产能:计划产能:工业(太阳能组件)(MW) - - 1.10万 1.10万 -
工业(光伏电站)产量(MW) - - - 276.00 324.00
工业(光伏电站)销量(MW) - - - 236.00 867.00
工业(多晶硅)产量(KG) - - - 886.10万 -
工业(多晶硅)销量(KG) - - - 883.55万 -
工业(太阳能组件)产量(MW) - - - 1.43万 8626.80
工业(太阳能组件)销量(MW) - - - 1.35万 8108.61

主营构成分析

报告期
报告期

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营业收入 X

单位(%) 单位(万元)
业务名称 营业收入(元) 收入比例 营业成本(元) 成本比例 主营利润(元) 利润比例 毛利率
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注:通常在中报、年报时披露 

主要客户及供应商

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前5大客户:共销售了72.98亿元,占营业收入的20.66%
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客户名称 销售额(元) 占比
第一名
28.58亿 8.09%
第二名
14.63亿 4.14%
第三名
11.50亿 3.26%
第四名
9.64亿 2.73%
第五名
8.62亿 2.44%
前5大供应商:共采购了69.71亿元,占总采购额的20.92%
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供应商名称 采购额(元) 占比
第一名
17.04亿 5.11%
第二名
14.60亿 4.38%
第三名
13.26亿 3.98%
第四名
13.19亿 3.96%
第五名
11.62亿 3.49%
前5大客户:共销售了36.52亿元,占营业收入的12.42%
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客户名称 销售额(元) 占比
第一名
9.17亿 3.12%
第二名
7.74亿 2.63%
第三名
7.46亿 2.54%
第四名
6.49亿 2.21%
第五名
5.66亿 1.92%
前5大供应商:共采购了93.50亿元,占总采购额的34.93%
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供应商名称 采购额(元) 占比
第一名
27.14亿 10.14%
第二名
22.72亿 8.49%
第三名
16.58亿 6.19%
第四名
15.18亿 5.67%
第五名
11.88亿 4.44%
前5大客户:共销售了29.51亿元,占营业收入的15.67%
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客户名称 销售额(元) 占比
第一名
11.15亿 5.92%
第二名
6.58亿 3.49%
第三名
4.14亿 2.20%
第四名
3.87亿 2.06%
第五名
3.77亿 2.00%
前5大供应商:共采购了57.26亿元,占总采购额的31.02%
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供应商名称 采购额(元) 占比
第一名
28.21亿 15.28%
第二名
10.13亿 5.49%
第三名
7.41亿 4.02%
第四名
6.69亿 3.62%
第五名
4.83亿 2.61%
前5大客户:共销售了19.86亿元,占营业收入的12.36%
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客户名称 销售额(元) 占比
第一名
7.15亿 4.45%
第二名
3.35亿 2.08%
第三名
3.23亿 2.01%
第四名
3.15亿 1.96%
第五名
2.98亿 1.86%
前5大供应商:共采购了34.79亿元,占总采购额的31.50%
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供应商名称 采购额(元) 占比
第一名
13.57亿 12.28%
第二名
9.31亿 8.43%
第三名
4.60亿 4.17%
第四名
4.14亿 3.75%
第五名
3.17亿 2.87%
前5大客户:共销售了25.02亿元,占营业收入的17.36%
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客户名称 销售额(元) 占比
第一名
6.98亿 4.85%
第二名
5.91亿 4.10%
第三名
4.58亿 3.18%
第四名
4.04亿 2.80%
第五名
3.50亿 2.43%
前5大供应商:共采购了40.55亿元,占总采购额的27.09%
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供应商名称 采购额(元) 占比
第一名
13.63亿 9.10%
第二名
8.16亿 5.45%
第三名
7.26亿 4.85%
第四名
5.98亿 4.00%
第五名
5.52亿 3.69%

董事会经营评述

  一、报告期内公司从事的主要业务  (一)公司所处行业发展情况  根据中国证监会发布的《中国上市公司协会上市公司行业统计分类指引》,公司所处行业属于电气机械和器材制造业(CH38)。根据国家统计局发布的《国民经济行业分类》(GB/T4754-2017),公司所处行业属于电气机械和器材制造业(C38)大类下的输配电及控制设备制造(C382)下的光伏设备及元器件制造(C3825)。  一)行业发展概况  1、光伏行业整体情况  进入21世纪以来,随着全球性能源短缺、气候异常和环境污染等问题的日益突出,积极推动新能源战略、加快新能源推广应用已成为全世界普遍关注的焦点,包括中国在内的世界诸国都在加快... 查看全部▼

  一、报告期内公司从事的主要业务
  (一)公司所处行业发展情况
  根据中国证监会发布的《中国上市公司协会上市公司行业统计分类指引》,公司所处行业属于电气机械和器材制造业(CH38)。根据国家统计局发布的《国民经济行业分类》(GB/T4754-2017),公司所处行业属于电气机械和器材制造业(C38)大类下的输配电及控制设备制造(C382)下的光伏设备及元器件制造(C3825)。
  一)行业发展概况
  1、光伏行业整体情况
  进入21世纪以来,随着全球性能源短缺、气候异常和环境污染等问题的日益突出,积极推动新能源战略、加快新能源推广应用已成为全世界普遍关注的焦点,包括中国在内的世界诸国都在加快对各种可再生资源的开发和利用。
  在目前世界上已开发利用的可再生能源中,水能、风能、潮汐能的可用量较小,满足不了人类的客观需求;核裂变虽然产生的能量巨大,但存在不可控性及安全风险,切尔诺贝利及福岛核事件的警钟仍然长鸣;地热能虽然就理论研究而言颇具潜力,但于技术和安全性上存在较多可行性问题。相较之下,在可合理预期的期间内,太阳能作为人类取之不尽、用之不竭的可再生能源,具有清洁性、安全性、广泛性、持久性、充足性、免维护性及潜在的经济性等诸多优点。因此,太阳能是目前人类已知可利用的、清洁安全且能够满足人类未来需求的最佳能源选择。整体上看,人类直接利用太阳能还处于初级阶段,未来具有巨大的发展潜力。
  全球光伏行业在发展过程中,虽然部分时期由于受到宏观经济波动、产业投资过热、国际贸易政策等因素影响,经历了一定的行业调整,但光伏整体需求仍保持增长趋势。目前,光伏市场的参与者以眼光长远、深耕行业的产业资本为主,短期逐利的金融资本较少;行业转向涵盖性能、功能及技术研发实力的多维度竞争策略,形成以市场驱动为导向的良性发展模式。在此背景下,各国近年来对光伏发电的投资建设稳步提升,根据中国光伏行业协会数据,2023年,全球光伏新增装机达到390GW,同比增长69.6%,累计光伏电站装机量约1,546GW。
  光伏新型技术日趋成熟,据TrendForce集邦咨询中国光伏产业招投标数据库统计,2024年上半年国内组件集采招标容量约为108GW,其中N型光伏组件招标量已达90.3GW,占比84%,N型技术产品已占据市场主流地位。大量新技术加持的新兴光伏产能量产爬坡,新老技术光伏产品重叠供给带来阶段性产业供需失衡,产业链各环节竞争博弈加剧,导致光伏行业整体业绩承压,行业进入产能博弈的剧烈波动期。根据PVInfolink数据,2024年上半年,光伏组件报价跌幅约15%,电池片报价下滑17%-36%,多晶硅、硅片跌幅超40%。光伏全产业链报价下行使得多环节价格低于成本线、企业经营压力增大、净利润亏损,加剧行业内企业财务风险,行业短期内处于剧烈的低端产能淘汰整合阶段。
  2、我国光伏行业发展情况
  (1)政策利好,为我国未来能源长期发展方向之一
  可再生能源的广泛使用是未来的长期发展趋势,尽管我国已经发展成为全球第一大光伏应用市场,但现阶段我国能源结构仍以传统能源为主,大力发展光伏等可再生能源,促进可持续发展仍然是国家重要的发展目标,近年来我国陆续出台多个利好政策,推动光伏行业健康快速发展。
  2018年5月,为促进光伏产业平稳发展,国家发改委、财政部、国家能源局联合发布《关于2018年光伏发电有关事项的通知》,虽然“531”光伏新政包括“暂停普通地面电站指标发放”、“分布式光伏规模受限”、“调低上网电价”等较为严苛的内容,但经历政策变动后,2018年我国光伏发电新增装机仍高达44.26GW,仅次于2017年,创历史第二高水平,远超业界预期。
  2020年9月,国家领导人在联合国大会上表示:“中国将提高国家自主贡献力度,采取更加有力的政策和措施,二氧化碳排放力争于2030年前达到峰值,争取在2060年前实现碳中和”。中国由此成为迄今为止世界各国中作出最大减少全球变暖预期的气候承诺的国家。2020年12月,国家领导人在气候雄心峰会上进一步表示:“到2030年,中国单位国内生产总值二氧化碳排放将比2005年下降65%以上,非化石能源占一次能源消费比重将达到25%左右,森林蓄积量将比2005年增加60亿立方米,风电、太阳能发电总装机容量将达到12亿千瓦以上。”2021年10月,中共中央、国务院发布《关于完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念做好碳达峰碳中和工作的意见》,明确指出到2025年非化石能源消费比重达到20%左右,到2030年非化石能源消费比重达到25%左右,风电、太阳能发电总装机容量达到12亿千瓦以上。
  2021年6月,国家发改委发布《关于2021年新能源上网电价政策有关事项的通知》(发改价格〔2021〕833号),指出2021年起,对新备案集中式光伏电站、工商业分布式光伏项目和新核准陆上风电项目,中央财政不再补贴,实行平价上网。
  2024年1月,国家能源局发布《2024年能源监管工作要点》,文件提到一方面,保障新能源和新型主体接入电网。监管电网企业公平无歧视地向新能源项目提供接网服务,开展分布式光伏备案接网推进情况专项监管,重点跟踪分布式光伏备案、并网、交易、结算等情况。指导电网企业进一步优化并网流程、提高并网时效,推动“沙戈荒”风光基地、分布式电源、储能、充电桩等接入电网。另一方面,有序推进新能源参与市场交易。加强市场机制创新,逐步扩大新能源市场化交易比例,实现新能源发展与市场建设协调推进,更好发挥市场促进消纳作用。建立健全绿色电力交易机制,研究出台绿电交易有关规定,逐步扩大绿电交易规模,着力解决企业购买绿电需求量大、绿电跨省跨区交易难等问题。加快推进绿电、绿证市场建设,培育绿色电力消费市场。
  政策的出台有助于重塑光伏行业竞争格局和优化市场竞争环境,为我国下一步能源结构转型奠定了坚实的基础。太阳能作为可再生能源重要组成部分,为我国未来能源发展的主要方向之一。
  (2)产业下游新装机量稳定增长,连续多年位居世界第一
  我国为太阳能资源最为丰富的国家之一,全国总面积2/3以上地区年日照时数大于2,000小时,为太阳能光伏发电提供了良好的基础。我国的光伏产业起步于二十世纪七十年代,2005年起,随着一批多晶硅项目建成投产,我国太阳能光伏产业进入高速发展时期。
  2013年以来,在国家政策支持及行业技术水平提高的驱动下,我国逐步发展成为全球最重要的太阳能光伏应用市场之一。根据中国光伏行业协会数据,2013年,我国新增装机容量10.95GW,首次超越德国成为全球第一大光伏应用市场,并在此后保持持续增长,尽管受到2018年“531光伏新政”以及2019年竞价政策出台较晚影响,我国2018年和2019年新增装机容量同比有所下降,但仍分别达到44.26GW和30.11GW,始终居于世界第一。根据国家能源局数据,2020年至2023年,我国新增光伏发电并网装机容量分别达48.2GW、54.88GW、87.41GW、216.30GW,新增光伏装机容量连续多年位居世界第一。
  (3)规模与技术不断突破,产业竞争力持续提升
  经过多年的发展,光伏行业已成为我国少有的形成国际竞争优势、实现端到端自主可控、并有望率先成为高质量发展典范的战略性新兴产业,也是推动我国能源变革的重要引擎。目前我国光伏产业在制造业规模、产业化技术水平、应用市场拓展、产业体系建设等方面均位居全球前列。根据中国光伏行业协会,“中国光伏产业已有多项技术取得全球领先水平,产品性价比全球最优,各环节产能规模全球第一,产业自给率最强,基本上实现国产化”。
  根据CPIA的数据,从规模上看,2023年,中国多晶硅、硅片、电池片、组件占全球的产量占比分别为91.4%、98.1%、91.9%和84.6%,其中多晶硅产量约147.2万吨,同比增长71.8%;硅片产量668.3GW,同比增长80%;电池片产量591.3GW,同比增长78.9%;组件产量518.1GW,同比增长75.8%,中国光伏行业已成为全球光伏集聚之处,且其规模呈持续扩张趋势。
  从技术上看,我国光伏企业在TOPCon、HJT、XBC等高效晶硅电池生产技术上先后取得突破,半片、双面、叠瓦、多主栅、大尺寸等相关技术也相继成熟并逐渐被应用,持续进行提升和创新。新技术、新方案的推陈出新带来光伏电池转换效率迅速提升,同版型光伏组件功率不断增长,光伏电站度电成本持续优化,光伏发电的应用场景快速拓展、全球需求增速强劲。
  近年来,从硅材料、电池、组件到系统的优化创新,中国光伏产业链中各个环节的技术水平及工艺水平均有较大提升,并进而推动光伏发电成本的持续下降。随着光伏上网电价逐步趋近常规电力的上网电价,中国光伏行业更具竞争力。
  二)行业竞争格局、市场集中情况、公司产品的市场地位
  1、行业竞争格局、市场集中情况
  光伏电池及组件行业均属于技术密集型、资金密集型行业,虽然进入门槛较高,但经过多年的快速发展,行业已经成为开放性行业。过去十年中,光伏组件行业集中度逐渐提高,行业龙头企业不断扩大产能,逐渐夯实市场地位。其中我国企业电池片和组件的产能、产量等在全球占比均高于75%。已成为光伏电池及组件的全球产业中心。
  根据中国光伏行业协会数据,2023年全球组件前10名企业产量总额约415.7GW,较2022年增加约159.8GW,占全球组件产量比例为67.9%。随着行业技术迭代的加快、下游市场对于高效产品的需求增加、行业规模扩张等,中小厂商易因缺乏产能、技术资源等而被加速淘汰,具备较大的生产规模、出色的研发技术以及完善的销售网络等优势的头部企业将更为受益,从而引领未来市场并占据更多份额,行业集中度将进一步提升。
  2、公司产品的市场地位
  报告期内,公司专注于技术创新与工艺改革,光伏组件出货量行业领先。随着公司技术的不断发展创新、客户品牌认可度的提升,若无重大市场变化或政策调整,公司在光伏组件领域的市场竞争力有望得到进一步提升。2018年以来公司的光伏组件出货量稳定居于世界前十位。
  (二)公司主营业务及介绍
  报告期内,公司主营业务以太阳能电池组件的研发、生产、销售为主,业务亦涵盖了光伏电站EPC、光伏电站运营、储能领域等,主要处于光伏产业链的中游位置,并涉足光伏产业链的上游和下游。
  公司主要产品包括太阳能电池组件、太阳能光伏电站以及储能系统集成。
  一)太阳能电池组件
  太阳能电池片、组件的研发、生产和销售是报告期内公司的主要业务。太阳能电池片既可单独销售,也可以作为下游组件生产的原材料。公司的电池片、组件研发成果显著,取得多项专利,产品转换率屡创新高。截至本报告出具日,公司TOPCon电池片转换效率突破26.00%,异质结电池片转换效率突破26.50%;TOPCon组件转换效率突破22.65%,首年衰减率不超过1.00%,次年至第30年每年功率衰减不超过0.4%;异质结组件转换效率突破24.70%,首年衰减率不超过1.00%,次年至第30年每年功率衰减不超过0.3%。报告期内,公司不断优化产品结构,加速N型高效产能快速迭代,不断提升核心竞争力,满足客户要求,紧扣市场需求,依托异质结电池技术推出超低碳210HJT伏曦系列产品,在工艺上采用了独特的低温双面钝化接触、昇连接无应力互联技术、双面微晶技术;在材料上采用了210半片薄硅片、低银含浆料、钢边框等材料;在拥有高功率和高转换效率的同时,伏曦系列产品应用昇连接无应力互联技术、薄硅片、低银含浆料等降本手段控制其成本,使该系列产品的度电成本有着较大的优势。
  二)太阳能光伏电站
  公司的光伏电站业务主要以集中式光伏电站为主。公司子公司日升香港、日升电力专注拓展海内外电站开发、建设、运营、转让等,采取的业务模式有EPC、持有运营、BOT等。秉持“适当持有、滚动开发”的电站总体思路,公司在巩固原有欧洲、美洲、澳大利亚等海外电站投建区域外,根据国家“一带一路”建设规划,积极开拓西班牙、意大利、墨西哥、越南等地区在内的光伏电站建设、运营与转让。在保证集中式电站顺利开发的同时,公司对户用、工商业分布式光伏电站的相关业务也在积极拓展当中。另外,公司大力推进储能业务发展,公司“光储”、“光储充”一体化解决方案、智能微电网解决方案已进行商业化应用。公司还将推动已有光伏电站的多形式处置,提高电站建设资金的使用效率。
  三)储能系统集成
  公司的储能系统集成业务以大型储能系统产品为主。公司控股子公司宁波双一力是一家集研发、生产、销售、服务为一体的高新技术企业,致力于成为全球领先的全场景储能系统解决方案服务商。旗下产品涵盖电池、模组、工商业及大型储能系统,独立开发的液冷储能电池系统是国内首家同时通过中美两地UL9540A认证的系统。在电网调峰调频、可再生能源电网、工商业、应急备用等应用领域,宁波双一力凭借新一代风冷、液冷锂电储能产品以及整体解决方案,已投运的储能项目遍布国内及欧美、亚太等市场,具有全球范围内多个百兆瓦级大型储能项目的交付经验,交付与服务能力得到海内外客户的普遍认可。
  (三)公司经营模式
  一)生产模式
  公司的产品主要为自主生产,建立“以销定产”的生产模式。公司根据接受的订单和预付款情况,及时组织安排实施生产并于较短时间内陆续安排发货,保障客户所需产品的按时交货。具体的生产流程如下:
  1、太阳能电池组件的生产流程
  2、太阳能光伏电站建设流程
  3、储能系统集成制造流程
  二)采购模式
  公司设立运营制造中心,对原辅材料进行集中式统一采购。运营制造中心负责采购计划编制、供应商的开发与管理、采购流程审批等工作。公司采用订单式采购模式,根据客户的订货需求和实际库存情况制定采购计划并实施采购。客户订单主要分成标准订单和非标准订单,两类订单均采用订单式采购。报告期内,公司有多家关系稳定的原辅材料供应商,为公司的生产经营提供持续可靠的保障。
  三)研发模式
  公司重视技术研发投入和自主创新能力的提高,研发模式以自主研发、自主创新为主,通过引进人才,联合高校和科研院所等方式形成专业稳定的科研队伍。
  四)销售模式
  公司设立营销中心,采用直销为主,分销为辅的销售模式。营销中心分设国内销售部、海外销售部和市场部。其中,国内、海外销售部负责客户开发与维护,包括处理订单,执行销售政策和信用政策等。国内销售部和海外销售部采用区域团队制,公司总部统一限定该区域的战略性重要客户,各区域中小型客户的挖掘以“自由竞争,报备评估”为原则,鼓励销售团队积极开发客户。市场部主要负责公司产品的市场推广、展会宣传、市场信息收集等。公司设立全球质量及客户服务中心,负责产品的售后服务工作。
  (四)公司未来发展的展望
  本节将从行业趋势、公司发展战略以及公司经营计划三个方面,对公司未来进行展望。
  一)行业格局和趋势
  1、行业格局
  近年来,世界各国逐步对碳中和达成共识,将加速淘汰化石能源,构建以光伏为代表的新能源主体。2021年11月10日,中国和美国在联合国气候变化格拉斯哥大会期间发布《中美关于在21世纪20年代强化气候行动的格拉斯哥联合宣言》,宣告“碳达峰、碳中和”目标;据NetZeroTracker统计,全球已有约150个国家或地区提出了“零碳”或“碳中和”的气候目标,且减排目标陆续进入实施阶段,低碳新能源市场规模持续扩大。
  2023年以来,随着上游硅料扩产产能的逐步落地,硅料阶段性的产能错配得以缓解,硅料价格亦进入下行通道,根据PVInfolink数据,多晶硅价格从2022年末的300元/千克左右已经下探至2024年8月的40元/千克左右,带动整体光伏产业链成本迅速下降,光伏发电经济性凸显,有效地刺激光伏新增装机量快速增长,再创历史新高。同时,随着新能源产业链降本增效的发展提速,我国“双碳”建设决心愈发坚定,资本纷纷涌入光伏行业,跨界光伏的企业数量迅速上升。一方面,新的竞争者的涌入为光伏行业的技术迭代和转型升级注入新的活力,原有的头部企业在新的冲击下亦凭借技术、规模、成本、渠道及品牌、资金等方面的优势不断巩固竞争力,专注研发创新,持续推出具备更高转换效率、更低度电成本和更低碳足迹的高效新型绿色产品,完善产品结构,加速高端产能落地和低端产能的出清;另一方面,根据光伏行业协会统计,2023年,我国多晶硅、硅片、电池片和组件的产量分别达到147.2万吨、668.3GW、591.3GW和518.1GW,同比分别增长71.8%、80%、78.9%和75.8%,各环节的扩产产能集中落地导致了各环节再次呈现一定程度的结构性供需矛盾,产业链价格波动下行,各环节的利润空间遭受挤压,部分落后产能的开工率下降,产业链整体面临业绩承压,光伏行业竞争格局面临加速重构。
  2、行业趋势
  据IRENA、彭博社等数据统计,2010年至2022年光伏发电度电成本由2.75元/KWh下降至0.34元/KWh,累计已下降87.64%,光伏发电性价比对照传统发电方式有着持续的大幅提升,光伏发电度电成本已低于煤电发电成本水平,相关产品的海内外客户认可度、需求量持续升高,行业内企业百花齐放,竞争激烈程度持续提高。
  (1)光伏产业链价格波动下行,光伏投资经济性凸显,全球光伏需求将长期保持高景气状态
  短期来看,随着光伏产业链各环节扩产产能逐渐释放,光伏产业链呈现出结构性的产能错配,短期内行业竞争格局的重塑将带来低端产能的出清,行业集中度的提升,光伏电池组件厂商盈利能力将逐渐趋稳;中长期来看,产业链价格波动下行带动光伏终端装机成本显著下降,光伏投资收益率逐渐提升,下游光伏装机需求持续增长,根据光伏行业协会统计,2023年全球光伏装机达到390GW,同比增长69.6%,全球光伏电站装机潜在需求将长期维持高景气状态。
  (2)光伏行业技术不断升级迭代,“光伏+”不断拓宽下游应用场景
  电池技术处于迭代期,P型(PERC)电池转化率接近理论极限,其产品生命周期已经接近完全期,新技术的N型电
  池技术路线有HJT、TOPCon、XBC等,该型电池的转化极限效率相较于传统的P型电池有着更大的提升空间。现今已有多家企业布局、投产该型电池。随着电池效率的不断提高,电池制造工艺的不断提升,光伏类产品的应用场景被不断拓宽,与其他行业的跨界融合例子不断增多,农光互补、渔光互补、林光互补、水光互补等应用模式不断推广,未来光伏发电应用场景将更加广泛:i.光伏+5G,5G技术不断成熟、普及化,按照各运营商5G规模和数量计算能耗总量,5G宏基站能耗量大概是4G的9倍以上,整体更高的总耗能,相对更高的基站密度,其非常契合光伏发电的使用场景,光伏和5G产业可以进行优势互补,相互推动产业的进一步发展。ii.光伏+新能源基建,公安部统计数据显示,截至2024年6月,我国新能源车保有量达2472万辆,未来,随着新能源汽车应用模式更加普及,新型基建,例如:光伏充电桩等,相关的建设业务需求也将逐渐扩大。iii.光伏+建筑,随着国家对建筑能耗标准、绿色水平的要求越来越高,以清洁安全高效的光伏发电系统作为建筑能源形式的“光伏建筑一体化”,将成为越来越多光伏企业差异化发展的契机。iv.光伏+制氢,实现清洁能源生产清洁能源,能有效解决光伏发电消纳问题,实现两种新能源之间的有效应用。随着光伏发电和电解水制氢技术的不断发展,光伏+制氢将成为我国能源安全和能源结构调整的新选择。
  二)公司发展战略
  1、公司继续专注于光伏制造主业,依托高效光伏产品体系和全球营销体系,大力保障技术研发和工艺改进的投入,加速推进国际化,为全球客户提供高效光伏能源解决方案。
  (1)巩固光伏组件领先地位,打造新能源行业全球龙头企业
  我们的光伏组件业务处于光伏行业全球领先地位,光伏组件年产能达到35GW,我们将持续聚焦光伏电池组件主业,有序推进在浙江宁海、江苏金坛、安徽滁州等地区的高效太阳能电池组件生产基地建设和规划,在北美洲、欧洲、南美洲等全球主要销售地区以及中东、非洲等新兴市场持续提升销售规模,满足持续增长的全球市场需求,巩固我们在全球光伏组件领域领先的市场地位,稳健提升公司光伏组件产能在全球的市场占比。
  (2)加大以异质结高效电池组件为代表的前沿技术研发投入,持续创新提升光伏技术工艺
  我们计划持续增加研发投入,加大以异质结以及钙钛矿为代表的前沿技术开发和产业应用力度,保障我们的技术研发实力和产品先进性均保持在行业前列,以技术进步驱动公司成长。我们将以“降本增效”为产品技术原则,重点发展高效异质结电池组件技术等行业前沿技术,提升自产光伏组件的转换效率、使用寿命周期和安全性。同时,我们将密切关注行业风向变化,加速新技术电池产业化,将技术实力转化为公司业绩。
  (3)提升产业链一体化率,加码布局储能业务
  我们已经形成了太阳能电池制造和深加工、太阳能组件加工、光伏电站建设运营等产业链条基础。未来,我们将完善产业链布局,在广阔的全球光伏产业链生态中寻找一体化发展机遇。我们将进一步夯实光伏产业链基础,与上游供应链伙伴和下游客户加强互动合作,建立战略联盟。同时,我们将加强行业趋势研判,通过供应商联合开发、长单采购锁量、优化物流等措施,优化增强供应链稳定性和抗风险能力。
  此外,我们将持续加强在储能业务研发方面的投入,从能量密度、系统效率、系统成本及安全性等方面实现系统集成综合优势,进一步优化整体的产品结构,打造一体化的综合产业链布局,提升我们服务客户的能力和规模经济效益。
  (4)加速推进智能化转型,实现高效精益生产
  智能制造是先进生产制造技术与新一代信息技术、新一代人工智能等新技术深度融合形成的新型生产方式和制造技术。在智能化制造时代,我们将在现有产能优势的基础上,紧跟行业的智慧化节奏,将人工智能、大数据技术融入现有的生产线建设中,在全球建设新的智慧工厂的同时,加速进行现有工厂的智能化改造升级。我们的智能生产线将实现较大的工艺技术进步和精度提升,从而提升产品品质稳定性与生产经营效率,保障产品技术领先、品质优越。
  公司坚持“思进思变思发展,创新创业创一流”的经营理念和“以科技创新持续改善能源格局,提高人类生活品质”的使命,本着“重质量、守诚信、抓安全、求发展、讲环保、铸辉煌”的方针,依托“国家级光伏实验室”,继续加强研发力度,致力于生产高效率的新能源绿色产品,满足国内外市场不断增长的需求,成为国际领先的新能源绿色解决方案提供商。
  2、保障措施
  为了保障战略目标的有效达成,公司以技术领先和品质领先为核心,大力保障技术研发和工艺改进的投入,推动产线工艺持续提升优化和成本下降,加快新产品研发和产业化,快速推进高效产能建设,进一步强化和提升营销能力,加速全球化市场布局。
  三)经营计划
  电池片、组件方面:技术上,当前光伏市场已进入以科技创新引领的高效电池及组件时代。公司通过联合高校和科研院所等方式培养和引进人才,形成了专业稳定的科研队伍,技术部门将从研发、试验等多维度综合提高光伏产品转换效率和产品质量,使公司在技术领先方面持续保持优势。产能上,2024年下半年公司将在现有产能的基础上,按计划有序推进浙江宁海年产15GWN型超低碳高效异质结电池片与15GW高效太阳能组件项目、江苏金坛4GW高效太阳能电池片和6GW高效太阳能组件项目以及安徽滁州年产10GW高效太阳能电池项目等高效先进产能投产及爬坡,完善优化现有公司产能;销售上,在保持2023年度市场规模的基础上,根据光伏市场行情以及光伏技术发展情况,合理规划公司经营计划。
  光储项目集成业务方面,公司在巩固原有欧洲、墨西哥、澳大利亚、越南等海外电站投建区域外,根据国家“一带一路”建设规划,提升了包括西班牙、意大利、孟加拉、菲律宾、尼泊尔等在内的全球范围的光伏电站开发建设规模,根据公司“适当持有、滚动开发”的总体电站思路,推动已有光伏电站的多形式处置,提高资金的使用效率。其次,针对工商业建筑屋顶和民用建筑屋顶,公司推出相对应的BIPV产品,产品应用场景广泛,包含工业厂房新建和返修屋顶、大型公建新建屋顶、民用建筑新建和返修屋顶等。同时公司与建筑行业相关企业积极接洽,意在提供完善的全套光伏建筑屋顶系统,打造安全、适用、经济、美观、可靠、便捷的绿色建材发电产品,拓展BIPV蓝海市场。此外,公司继续大力推进储能业务发展,专注于锂离子电池储能系统的研发、生产、集成、销售、服务的一体化经营,凭借领先的储能电池技术和电力电子技术为辅助新能源并网、电力调频调峰、微电网、应急备用、削峰填谷、黑启动等提供整套储能系统解决方案,推动公司“光储”、“光储充”一体化解决方案、智能微电网解决方案进行商业化应用。
  太阳能小系统业务、智能灯具及LED产品方面,公司全资公司浙江双宇电子科技有限公司将加强管理提升,重点推进太阳能小系统、智能灯具、LED产品业务的研发、生产、销售,完成年度指标。

  二、核心竞争力分析
  (一)科学的战略决策能力和高效的战略执行能力
  公司专注于新能源、新材料的全球化事业,主要从事的业务包括晶体硅料、太阳能电池片、组件、新材料、光伏电站、储能集成系统及智能灯具等业务。公司光伏组件业务处于光伏行业全球领先地位,出货数据多年位列全球前列。
  公司经营团队拥有丰富的光伏行业经营管理经验,对太阳能光伏行业的发展趋势具有良好的专业判断,对行业变化有敏锐的捕捉力,具备科学的战略决策能力和高效的战略执行能力。公司始终以客户为中心,紧扣市场需求,优化产品结构,在科技研发、高效产品推广、工艺改进、精益生产和成本控制等方面不断提升核心竞争力,经过多年的摸索,公司已逐步建立起涵盖新产品开发、原材料采购、生产运营、质量控制、成本管理、财务管理、市场营销和品牌建设等方面的现代科学管理体系。
  在物联网、5G、大数据等新一代信息技术加速融合的趋势下,公司深入实施智能制造工程,通过推行产线设备/车间/生产基地自动化、可视化、数字化,促进信息化与工业化深度融合,打造了多个绿色工厂、智能化数字车间、数字工厂,实现生产流程优化、效率提升、质量提高、成本降低,加速我们低碳生产效率,提升产业核心竞争力,优化运营模式,实现更高效、绿色生产。
  截至报告期末,公司光伏组件年产能为35GW,产能主要分布于浙江宁波、江苏金坛、浙江义乌、安徽滁州、马来西亚和内蒙古包头等生产基地。此外,“浙江宁海15GWN型超低碳高效异质结电池片与15GW高效太阳能组件项目”、“江苏金坛4GW高效太阳能电池片和6GW高效太阳能组件项目”和“安徽滁州年产10GW高效太阳能电池项目”等项目正在有序推进中。
  (二)领先的N型技术实力和丰富的技术储备
  公司在N型技术及大尺寸高效组件技术方面拥有多项自主知识产权专利技术和技术攻关成果:(1)N型HJT方面:通过自有专利0BB电池技术、210超薄硅片技术、纯银用量小于6mg/W及昇连接无应力电池互联技术四个行业内首家量产。在集团全球光伏研究院装备改造团队与上下游产业方的共同努力下,已完成该系列异质结电池及组件的规模化量产,配合车间一体化设计建设,打通异质结硅片—电池—组件的贯通式生产流程,减少生产损耗,提升产出效率。同时,建立一体化整合平台,结合智能信息化优势,加强数据分析和预测,进一步提高生产效率和资源利用率;优化MES系统排单算法,实现动态平衡和资源优化配置。基于自有技术支持、全HJT产业链整合以及一体化平台助力,东方日升已成功量产G12半片、110μm的硅片、90μm的异质结电池片、纯银用量低于6mg/W;金坛二期异质结电池4GW量产线介质供应后12天首线首批下货;两个月首线实现满产;金坛冠军电池效率超26.5%,日平均效率可达26%,可利用良率99.7%,单日单线产量达35.8万片,碎片率低于0.25%。南滨异质结电池于2023年9月12日首片下线,可利用良率99.7%,单日单线产量达35.7万片,碎片率低于0.27%。截止目前公司已获得TV南德全球首张210异质结高效薄片化组件认证证书,TV莱茵首家HJT电池片认证证书,TV南德颁发的3倍IEC测试证书。(2)N型TOPCon电池方面:通过在电池背面引入新型N型高温接触钝化工艺;通过全行业独特的非晶硅沉积工艺及载具,避免了电池片正面绕镀掺磷非晶硅,同时优化激活工艺,进行低温晶化,使多晶硅晶化程度提高,磷掺杂达到一定的浓度和结深,提高背面接触和钝化;背面采用先进的多层膜沉积技术,改善电池对长波的利用率,兼顾电池的钝化和接触性能;通过将正面硼扩方阻提高至400Ω以上,减少正面反向饱和电流密度,提高电池钝化性能,同时匹配丝网低腐蚀性浆料和激光烧结工艺,在保证非金属区的钝化效果的同时使金属区的接触电阻降低,同时提高电池的Voc和FF;正面超细栅网版搭配低固含浆料导入,优化栅线高宽比,有效减少正面遮光,提升电流;通过在电池正面引入多层钝化膜,降低正面钝化区饱和电流密度叠层钝化工艺,提高钝化效果。(3)210大尺寸高效组件方面:在材料上,通过导入210大硅片电池、高透玻璃、高效汇流条、高反射率背板和钢边框,反光膜等技术,在工艺技术上,通过应用自研0BB、切片组件封装技术、无损切割和钢边框成型等技术,大幅提高组件生产良率和组件功率,使异质结组件功率提升到最高760Wp。
  (三)以市场为导向的研发理念和完善的研发体系
  公司一贯重视对技术研发的投入和自主创新能力的提高,通过联合高校和科研院所以及上下游产业链的研发互动等方式形成了专业稳定的科研队伍,通过内部挖潜以及外部联动,并配备完善的研发激励制度,促进公司内部形成积极开展技术创新和产品升级的良好氛围。
  公司通过积极引进和合理配置人才,组建专业研发团队,建立了电池研发中心、组件研发中心和新材料研发中心,拥有国家级CNAS实验室、国家级企业技术中心、国家级博士后科研工作站以及江苏省半导体(异质结)叠层新能源产业创新中心,获得了新能源行业龙头企业、国家级绿色工厂、国家级绿色供应链企业、国家级智能光伏试点示范企业、国家级物联网示范企业、国家知识产权示范企业、全国五一劳动奖状等称号和荣誉,构建了具备全球竞争力的研发体系。多年来公司一直从事太阳能晶体硅电池片、组件的研发生产,在高效光伏电池及组件领域积累了深厚的技术储备,具备业内领先的量产技术能力和产能优势。公司新推出的超低碳210HJT伏曦系列产品,在工艺上采用了独特的低温双面钝化接触、昇连接无应力电池互联技术、双面微晶技术;在材料上采用了210半片薄硅片、低银含浆料、钢边框等材料。在拥有高功率和高转换效率的同时,伏曦系列产品应用昇连接无应力电池互联技术、薄硅片、低银含浆料等降本手段控制其成本,使该系列产品的度电成本有着较大的优势。此外,公司针对住宅和工商业屋顶用户量身打造的BIPV超能系列产品,在功率、易安装、可靠性及安全性等方面均具备明显优势,不仅可满足市场需求,也将为用户带来更好的体验、更高的回报。
  (四)以品质为保障的卓越品牌优势
  作为全球光伏行业龙头企业之一,在长期的生产经营中,积累了丰富的行业经验,并在全球范围内建立了稳定高效的产供销体系,公司持续推进生产自动化、智能化,通过工艺技术进步和生产布局优化来保障产品技术领先、品质优越,打造电池组件研发制造领域的领先品牌。通过过硬的产品品质,公司先后获得德国TUV、美国UL、英国MCS、欧盟CE、澳大利亚CEC、国家CQC等产品行销全球需要的认证;同时,凭借优秀的产品品质、专业的服务质量和优异的市场表现,公司多年位列彭博新能源财经一级光伏组件制造商排名分级目录(BloombergNEFPVModuleMakerTier1List),被EUPDResearch认定为澳大利亚、智利、墨西哥、波兰地区的“TopBrandPV2024”,是公司技术实力和质量可靠性的重要体现;此外,依靠优秀的管理团队,公司位列财富中文网“2024年《财富》中国500强第406位”,展现公司管理层的卓越领导力。
  (五)光伏产业集群及全球化布局优势
  公司在浙江宁波、江苏金坛、浙江义乌、安徽滁州、内蒙古包头等地设立了生产基地,并以此为带动形成初具规模的产业集群。上述生产基地大部分位于长三角地区,海陆空港均较为发达,地理位置优越,交通便捷,运输成本和海外拓展优势显著。通过参与、带动并形成初具规模的产业集群,公司大部分的原材料采购都可以在该区域内实现,极大地降低了采购、销售过程中的运输成本。同时,马来西亚生产基地作为公司积极开拓海外市场的战略支点,正在为公司的国际化战略提供宝贵的管理经验和人才储备。
  此外,公司通过在全球范围内设立分子公司、办事处等构建起全球化网络,努力打造四个全球化,即市场全球化、制造全球化、资本全球化和人才全球化,彼此相互促进,以市场趋向合理布局全球化制造、资本和人才,赢得全球的认可,公司始终以客户需求为中心,创造性地为客户提供有价值的服务,并在科技研发、高效产品推广、工艺改进、精益生产和成本控制等方面不断提升核心竞争力,助力全球清洁能源的应用与普及,努力践行“让东方日升点亮世界每一个角落”的公司理念。

  三、公司面临的风险和应对措施
  (一)宏观经济风险
  自2020年“双碳”目标提出后,旺盛的市场需求让光伏成为近年来增长最为显著的产业之一。在此背景下,我国各环节光伏企业纷纷加大扩产力度,导致市场出现阶段性供大于求的局面,进而导致整个产业链价格快速下滑。而光伏板块原材料采购、产成品销售价差是影响公司毛利率甚至整体经营状况的重要因素,如未来光伏主要上下游市场因宏观经济、政治环境、大宗商品价格等多种因素影响而使得其价格出现大幅波动,则可能会导致公司整体经营的战略风险上升。此外,公司境外销售受到各国不同的市场环境、法律环境、税收环境、监管环境等因素的影响,还可能面临国际关系变化及相关国家非理性竞争策略等不确定因素,如果公司不能充分理解、掌握和运用国际规则,可能出现相关的境外销售风险。
  对此,公司将持续关注国内外经济政治形势、宏观经济政策、国家产业政策的发展变化情况,及时管控相关风险、调整公司策略,提高对风险的认识,预研预判,提高辨识和抗风险能力。
  (二)进出口贸易保护政策风险
  海外市场是公司收入重要的组成部分,外销收入主要来源于向欧洲、印度、美国、澳大利亚、巴西等多个国家和地区的客户销售太阳能组件和储能系统等相关产品,以及在欧洲、东南亚、澳大利亚等国家和地区投资光伏电站取得的电费或EPC收入。光伏行业作为世界各国共识发展的产业,在地缘政治导致的贸易摩擦持续加剧的背景下总体呈现出光伏产能全球化的趋势,海外多国开始推行光伏制造本土化政策并且对光伏产业链的进出口设置贸易壁垒。因此长期来看相关贸易各国可能存在因政局变化、政府换届、领导人变化等导致的光伏行业相关政策不连续,以及国家主权和信用变化风险等,导致对公司海外业务产生影响。
  对此,公司将及时跟进、研究相关政策,通过大力拓展各国际区域业务、充分发挥技术和生产优势降本增效、优化高附加值产品结构等措施,从而降低贸易保护政策的影响。
  (三)毛利率波动风险
  在全球经济放缓的大背景下,新能源产业尤其是光伏产业作为为数不多高速增长的产业,不仅行业内各环节的龙头企业积极地进行产能扩张,同时亦吸引其他行业企业跨界进入以打造企业发展第二增长极,供给端不再是制约光伏行业发展的重要因素。而近年来受到各环节扩产产能集中落地的影响,产业终端需求难以消化短时间内过快增长的新增产能,光伏产业链阶段性地呈现出一定程度的结构性供需矛盾,同时叠加行业内产品的技术迭代所带来的竞争不断加剧,导致光伏产业链整体阶段性价格呈波动下行趋势,各环节的利润空间遭受挤压,公司产品可能面临产品毛利率下降甚至出现阶段性亏损的风险,进而对公司的盈利水平造成不利影响。
  对此,一方面,公司将持续重点关注相关原、辅材料的价格变化,对相关市场趋势做研判,及时调整采购策略和组件、电站等产品的订单价格,与辅材制造商保持良好的商务合作关系,预防相关材料价格波动对公司毛利率的影响;另一方面,公司将继续深耕优势领域,通过科技创新赋能公司产品,贯彻落实差异化发展战略,从而提高公司整体产品盈利能力。
  (四)应收账款回收风险
  随着经营规模不断扩张,公司应收款项规模保持较高水平。一方面,由于行业竞争加剧、落后产能出清、政府支持政策收紧以及产业集中度趋势提升,未来部分光伏企业可能出现资金流动性困难导致退出市场或者申请破产,若未来出现销售回款不顺利或客户财务状况恶化的情况,则公司应收账款的回收风险将增加,可能给公司带来坏账并直接影响公司盈利水平。另一方面,随着公司业务的发展和规模的扩张,应收账款可能进一步增加,若公司不能严格控制风险、制定合理信用政策、加强应收账款管理、建立有效的催款责任制,将会影响资金周转速度和经营活动的现金流量,从而影响公司的日常经营。
  对此,公司将严格控制风险,对客户进行资信调查,制定合理信用政策,加强合同管理,建立催款责任制及与保险公司签订保险合同等措施,针对海外客户基本采用信用证的销售方式进行,以减少客户退出市场或破产对公司业绩的影响。
  (五)技术更新进步的风险
  太阳能光伏行业属于高新技术产业,存在着较高的技术壁垒,行业内的公司需要具备深厚地技术积累、快速响应能力及持续研发能力,尽可能准确地把握新技术发展动向和趋势并且能够快速进行产业化落地。若未来太阳能电池组件领域发生重大技术变革或出现能为客户带来更低LCOE(度电成本)的新技术路线,而公司未能准确把握技术、产品及市场的发展动向和趋势,或未能投入足够的研发力度以掌握前沿技术,从而无法及时推出符合市场需求的技术或产品,将可能使公司丧失技术优势,面临技术被赶超或替代的风险,进而导致公司失去市场先机影响进一步的经营发展。
  对此公司会对市场上已有技术均保持高度关注,在坚持差异化发展的战略和保证主攻技术路线资源充足的基础上,对其他先进技术均保有一定水平的研究和技术积累,并根据市场需求适当地进行产业化准备,从而减少对单一技术的过度依赖情况。 收起▲

产品价格

数据截至(20241220)
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