I&C Registering Robust Growth Against Macro Headwinds
发布时间:2026-04-08 来源:华泰证券
Yunnan Baiyao has reported 2025 revenue of RMB41,187mn(+3%YoY),an attributable NP of RMB5,153mn(+9%YoY),and arecurring attributable NP of RMB4,860mn(+8%YoY).For 4Q25,revenue was RMB10,530mn(+4%YoY),the attributable NP was RMB380mn(-11%YoY),and the recurring attributable NP was RMB310mn(+22%YoY).The results were largely in line with our forecasts(we previously projected 2025 attributable NP of RMB5,270mn).The company plans to distribute acash dividend of RMB1.019/share(tax inclusive),with total 2025 cash dividends accounting for 90.09%of current-period profits.Despite atepid business climate,the company delivers robust earnings and demonstrates its operational resilience.We think that Yunnan Baiyao could continue to strengthen its core businesses,improve quality and efficiency,and advance steadily.Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Pharmaceutical&health product segments shone
Pharmaceutical manufacturing revenue was RMB16,020mn(+11%YoY),with its share of total revenue continuing to rise(35/36/39%in 2023/2024/2025).1)Pharmaceuticals BG revenue reached RMB8,318mn(+12.53%YoY),with 10 products exceeding RMB100mn in sales and two surpassing RMB1bn.The Baiyao series performed strongly,with aerosol revenue exceeding RMB2,500mn(+22%YoY),plaster revenue at RMB1,200mn(+26%YoY),and capsule,band-aid,and powder formula revenues all recording significant YoY growth.Specialty products delivered strong performance(Qixuekang up by 68%YoY,Shenling Jianpiwei up by 53%YoY,Pudilan,etc.).2)Health products BG revenue was RMB6,745mn(+3%YoY),with Yunnan Baiyao toothpaste maintaining its leading domestic market share and Yangyuanqing revenue at RMB460mn(+10%YoY).3)TCM resources BG revenue was RMB1,750mn,remaining largely flat YoY.
Maintain OVERWEIGHT
Considering the short-term pressure on pharmacy revenue,we lower our 2026/2027 earnings forecasts and add 2028 projections,expecting 2026/2027/2028 attributable NP of RMB5,535/5,990/6,410mn(2026/2027 down by 5/7%vs our previous estimates).Given Yunnan Baiyao’s diverse portfolio,we value the stock at 24x 2026E PE,above its peers’average of 21x on Wind consensus.Our new target price is RMB74.45(previous:RMB71.85,based on 22x 2026E PE and RMB5,827mn profit forecast).Maintain OVERWEIGHT.