Solid Core Earnings Growth in the Off Season
发布时间:2026-05-24 来源:华泰证券
Focus Technology reported 1Q26 results.In 1Q26,revenue reached RMB511mn(+15.81%YoY),attributable NP was RMB97.94mn(-12.53%YoY),and attributable NP excluding share-based payment impact reached RMB127mn(+12.98%YoY).We believe the company's core cross-border B2B business maintained solid growth,while commercialization of its AI applications is accelerating.We remain positive on the company's long-term competitiveness in the cross-border e-commerce B2B platform and on the commercialization prospects of its AI applications.Maintain BUY.
Steady Made-in-China.com membership growth
The company continued to implement its New Voyage Plan,expanding into emerging traffic channels such as AI search engines,improving full-chain payment and logistics services,and strengthening its closed transaction loop,with both member value and platform contribution continuing to rise.As of end-March 2026,the number of paying members on Made-in-China.com reached 30,294,up by 2,176 or 7.7%YoY,indicating steady expansion in membership even during the off-season.In 1Q26,cash received from the sale of goods and provision of services was RMB376mn,down by 13%YoY.We believe this mainly reflected the timing shift of the Spring Festival and the contraction of the company's self-operated cross-border business.For the full year,we expect YoY growth in cash collections to approach 20%.
AI applications iterating on the both sides of transaction
In 1Q26,the number of paying members for AI Mike reached 12,766,while cumulative purchased memberships,excluding trials,reached 20,466,up by 1,971 or 11%QoQ,with user penetration continuing to improve.On the buyer side,Sourcing AI 2.0 continued to roll out across the full procurement process,covering demand posting,intelligent price comparison,qualification review,and other procurement process,improving procurement efficiency and matching accuracy and supporting coordinated development on both the buyer and seller sides.The AI coaching product Marvin continued to empower the sales team,with functions such as lead recommendation and industry insight helping optimize operating efficiency.
Steady core earnings growth;dividend paid by April
In 1Q26,the company's gross margin fell by about 3pp YoY to 78%,mainly due to astrategic increase in traffic-related investment.Selling,G&A,and R&D expense ratios changed by-2.5pp,+4.8pp,and+2.8pp YoY,respectively.The rise in G&A and R&D expense ratios was mainly due to the short-term impact of share-based payment expense of about RMB35.61mn.Excluding the effect of share-based payment,attributable NP in 1Q26 still achieved double-digit YoY growth,reflecting solid core profitability.In addition,on April 23,2026,the company completed the distribution of RMB222mn in 2025 cash dividends and abonus share issue of 3shares for every 10 shares.After the bonus issue,total share capital increased to 412mn shares.
Earnings forecast and valuation
We believe growth in platform traffic should help accelerate the realization of core earnings,although concentrated recognition of share-based payment expense in 2026 may temporarily weigh on reported profit.We therefore maintain our attributable NP forecasts of RMB605mn/RMB823mn/RMB1.07bn for 2026/2027/2028.The average 2026 Wind consensus PE for comparable companies is 20x.Given the company's continued growth in platform traffic and the rollout and ongoing iteration of AI products across multiple scenarios,we apply amultiple of 25x 2026E PE to earnings.Based on the change in share capital,our new target price arrives at RMB36.94(previously RMB50.31 based on 26x 2026E PE).Maintain BUY.
Risks:AI technology development falls short of our expectations,foreign trade below our expectations,and industry competition intensifies.