Eying Cash Collection and Profit Upside in 2H26
发布时间:2026-09-04 来源:华泰证券
Focus Technology released its 1H26 results:1H26 revenue reached RMB1,056mn,up 15.4%YoY;attributable NP was RMB260mn,down 11.7%YoY;recurring attributable NP was RMB255mn,down 10.9%YoY.In 2Q26,revenue was RMB547mn,up 15%YoY;attributable NP was RMB162mn,down 11%YoY.In 1H26,the company recognized share-based payment expense of RMB74.52mn.Excluding this,attributable NP was RMB331mn,up 12.4%YoY,and recurring attributable NP was RMB326mn,up 13.8%YoY.The company plans to distribute cash dividends of RMB5 per 10 shares,totaling RMB206mn,representing c.79%of 1H26 attributable NP.We believe the company's core cross-border ToB business maintained steady growth,AI application commercialization is accelerating,and shareholder returns are attractive.Maintain BUY.
2Q26 cash collection marginally improved
In 1H26,Made-in-China.com business revenue was RMB891mn(+17.3%YoY).As of end-June,the number of paying members on Made-in-China.com reached 30,915(+8%YoY,+2%QoQ).The company continued to promote its"stabilize heavy industry,accelerate light industry"strategy,expanding into emerging categories in response to changes in import and export demand.Membership in the top ten light industry sectors grew 14%YoY.With continued optimization of its traffic investment structure,platform traffic grew 19%YoY in 1H26.In 1H26,cash received from the sale of goods and provision of services at the parent company level was RMB923mn,up 1.2%YoY,due to the timing shift of the Chinese New Year and the contraction of the self-operated cross-border business.2Q26 growth(+10%YoY)improved marginally versus 1Q26(-13%YoY).We suggest investors monitor collections in 2H26.
AI commercialization advancing
In 1H26,AI business revenue was RMB38.40mn(+76.6%YoY).Among this,AI Mike generated cash revenue of RMB47.77mn from January to June(+37.6%YoY).As of end-June,the cumulative number of members who had purchased AI Mike reached 23,249,and the number of paying members reached 14,392,up 13.6%and 12.7%respectively from end-March.On the buyer side,Sourcing AI has been embedded into the procurement process of the Made-in-China.com,upgrading the platform's matching logic from keyword matching to procurement intent understanding,driving improved lead conversion efficiency on the main site.In June,the company launched"Mao Tan,"an AI product targeting foreign trade order conversion,expanding the scope of AI application services from platform members to abroader range of foreign trade enterprises.
High cash dividend ratio maintained
The company plans to distribute cash dividends of RMB5 per 10 shares,totaling RMB206mn,representing c.79%of 1H26 attributable NP.The company completed its 2025 annual cash dividend of RMB222mn and abonus share issue of 3shares per 10 shares in April 2026.Combined with this interim dividend,the total cash dividends planned and implemented in 2026 amount to c.RMB428mn.We believe that while share-based payment expense is temporarily suppressing reported profit,the company's core earnings continue to grow at adouble-digit rate,and the high dividend ratio reflects management's confidence in operating cash flow and long-term development.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We slightly lower our full-year revenue expectations based on 1H26 cash collection growth,and lower our 2026-2028 attributable NP forecasts to RMB517/710/928mn(-15/-14/-13%vs previous forecasts).We switch our valuation to 2027.The average 2027 Wind consensus PE for comparable companies is c.15x.Given the company's continued platform traffic growth and the rollout and ongoing iteration of AI products across multiple scenarios,we apply a20x 2027E PE multiple,deriving atarget price of RMB34.44(previous:RMB36.94,on 25x 2026E PE).Maintain BUY
Risks:AI technology development falls short of our expectations,foreign trade below our expectations,and industry competition intensifies.