FX Volatility Weighs on Profits Temporarily
发布时间:2026-08-25 来源:华泰证券
H&T Intelligent Control has reported 1H26 revenue of RMB5,681mn,up 4.31%YoY.Attributable net profit came to RMB240mn,a 32.23%YoY decline,while recurring net profit reached RMB203mn,down 41.42%YoY.Revenue held steady,driven by auto electronics and smart products.Profit came under near-term pressure,largely due to asharp rise in FX losses from RMB volatility.Stripping out FX swings,attributable net profit from the smart controller business grew 12.55%YoY in 1H26,underlining resilient operations.We see strong long-term potential in the company's smart product pipeline in the AI era.Maintain BUY.
Smart products penetrate in more use cases
By segment:1H26 home appliance smart controller revenue reached RMB3,612mn,up 1.40%YoY,driven by higher orders from key overseas clients and steady market share gains.Power tools and industrial automation revenue came to RMB499mn,down 6.60%YoY,as intensifying market competition and extended external coordination cycles slowed overall delivery.Auto electronics revenue surged to RMB578mn,up 39.27%YoY,supported by continued wins in long-cycle new energy client projects and volume ramp-up of proprietary products such as HOD,alongside product mix improvement.Smart products revenue reached RMB673mn,up 8.97%YoY,driven by stronger end-demand and broader application scenarios.H&T’s smart oven 2.0 project has completed product planning and prototype development.It is also increasing penetration in child development and women's skincare health.We expect new offerings such as AI gamified learning and AI skincare advisory to become revenue growth engines.
Gross margin broadly stable;FX losses weigh on ST profit
1H26 blended gross margin came to 19.68%,up 0.55pp YoY.Within this,the smart controller segment posted gross margin of 17.17%,down 0.08pp YoY,reflecting higher raw material costs.We expect H&T to stabilize margins through customer and product mix optimization,cost efficiency measures,and price pass-through.The selling/G&A/R&D expense ratios were 1.89/3.54/5.61%,down 0.03/0.17/0.06pp YoY,pointing to operating efficiency gains.R&D spending reached RMB362mn,up 10.34%YoY,with investment focused on smart upgrades and auto electronics,building momentum for future growth.Financial costs totaled RMB149mn,up RMB213mn YoY,primarily due to higher FX losses.
Maintain BUY
Factoring in the impact of rising upstream raw material costs and FX volatility on earnings,we now forecast 2026/2027/2028 attributable net profit of RMB578/817/1,044mn(-33.56/-24.92/-20.32%vs prior RMB869/1,088/1,310mn).In our SOTP valuation,we value Chengchang Technology at amarket cap of RMB21.4bn;with H&T's 47.2%stake,this implies avalue of RMB10,101mn.For the controller and other core businesses,we forecast 2026E attributable net profit of RMB502mn.We assign a2026E PE of 37x,in line with the peer average of 37.44x on Wind consensus but reflecting the time still needed for smart products to fully demonstrate their high-growth profile.This yields avaluation of RMB18,592mn.We arrive at atotal fair valuation of RMB28,693mn for H&T,implying atarget price of RMB31.02(previous:RMB48.95,based on 40x PE for the smart controller business and aRMB13.7bn valuation for Chengchang Technology).Maintain BUY.
Risks:sharp rise in upstream component prices,weaker smart controller demand than we expect,and weaker RF chip demand than we expect.