Data Center Solution and ESS Exports Accelerated
发布时间:2026-09-08 来源:华泰证券
For 1H26, revenue increased by 19.81% YoY to RMB2,591mn, and the attributable net profit (NP) increased by 13.61% YoY to RMB290mn. For 2Q26, revenue increased by 10.80% YoY and 8.93% QoQ to RMB1,351mn, and the attributable NP increased by 4.96% YoY and 9.24% QoQ to RMB151mn. Profit growth was slower than revenue growth, mainly due to FX fluctuations and short-term disturbance from share-based payments. Looking ahead, as the company implements price hikes and optimizes its product mix, with the share of high-GPM power supply products increasing, profitability is expected to improve. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Profit was dented by FX losses/share-based compensation
For 2Q26, the GPM rose by 0.46pp YoY but fell by 0.55pp QoQ to 29.16%. Despite intense market competition, raw material price hikes, and cuts to export tax rebate rates, the company reduced costs and improved efficiency through lean manufacturing, inventory management, and production line upgrades. We expect the GPM to improve as price hikes for downstream customers are implemented. For 2Q26, the NPM fell by 0.72pp YoY and 0.16pp QoQ to 11.24%. On expenses, the overall expense ratio rose by 3.32pp YoY to 16.23% in 2Q26, mainly because the financial expense ratio increased by 2.85pp YoY. The increase in the financial expense ratio was mainly due to higher FX losses amid FX fluctuations, as overseas revenue accounted for a high share of 58% in 1H26.
Overseas expansion/product upgrades to drive growth
For 1H26, revenue from the data center industry increased by 17.14% YoY to RMB1,557mn, accounting for 60% of total revenue. The GPM increased by 0.31pp YoY to 33.57%. On customers, the company advanced cooperation with global distributors, operators, integrators, EPC contractors, and leading overseas power supply companies in overseas markets, and made phased progress in new customer expansion in 1H26. As customer validation is passed, overseas order conversion is expected to accelerate and open a new growth curve. In the domestic market, the company expanded internet industry customers while consolidating its position in the financial and communications industries. On products, the company deepened technology iteration and upgrades of high-power UPS products, and focused on the development, validation, and certification of megawatt-level AC systems and DC architectures, including HVDC and SST.
New energy: commercial and industrial ESS revenue strong
For 1H26, revenue from the new energy industry increased by 24.38% YoY to RMB1,011mn, accounting for 39% of total revenue. The GPM increased by 1.35pp YoY to 22.15%. Energy storage system (ESS) revenue recorded strong YoY growth, mainly benefiting from faster overseas ramp-up of commercial and industrial ESS. PV revenue was under pressure, as the domestic industry was in an adjustment cycle. Backed by demand recovery in Europe and favorable business climate in emerging markets such as the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa, the company's ESS orders and shipments are expected to keep increasing.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
Considering FX fluctuations and pressure on the PV business, we cut our revenue growth and GPM assumptions, raise our financial expense ratio assumption, and lower our 2026/2027/2028 attributable NP forecasts by 15.94/9.06/4.67% to RMB763/1,072/1,415mn from our previous forecasts, with EPS of RMB1.31/1.84/2.43. Considering the company's first-mover advantage and positive progress in overseas expansion, as well as its growth potential, we value the stock at 32x 2026E PE, above its peers' average of 23.18x on Wind consensus. Our target price is RMB41.92 (previous: RMB54.55, based on 35x 2026E PE). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Risks: data center construction falling short of our expectation, intensifying competition, and R&D uncertainties.