2Q26 Profit Strained amid Rising Raw Material Prices
发布时间:2026-09-11 来源:华泰证券
Shenzhen Honor Electronic reported 1H26 results:revenue was RMB2,509mn(+18.32%YoY),and attributable NP was RMB8.09mn(-93.95%YoY).In 2Q26,revenue was RMB1,467mn(+19.09%YoY,+40.88%QoQ),and attributable NP was RMB20.63mn(-75.48%YoY,turning profitable QoQ).2Q26 revenue hit arecord high,driven by YoY growth across all three business segments.Profitability came under pressure due to raw material price hikes(PCB,power devices,etc.),changes to the customer order mix,and forex fluctuations.Looking ahead,we expect ahigh-power product ramp-up,continued collaboration with Google,and the Vietnam capacity release to support rapid revenue growth.Profitability may improve as product mix optimization and easing raw material cost pressures take effect.Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
1H26 profit strained,but began to improve QoQ in 2Q26
2Q26 GPM was 18.57%(-2.60pp YoY,+1.55pp QoQ)and NPM was 1.40%(-5.48ppYoY,+2.57pp QoQ).As price pass-through takes effect in 3Q-4Q,together with product structure adjustments and supplier-side cost reduction,GPM could recover in 2H26.For expenses,the 2Q26 expense ratio was 12.45%(+1.61pp YoY),with the R&D/financial expense ratios rising notably(+0.60/+1.28pp YoY),reflecting continued R&D investment across core product segments and reduced forex gains amid exchange rate fluctuation.
DC power:Robust revenue from high power offering
In 1H26,DC power supply revenue was RMB1,136mn(+18.06%YoY),with rapid growth driven by high-power server power supply ramp-up(1H26 revenue of RMB936mn,+41.44%YoY,with its share of DC power supply revenue rising to 82.38%).GPM was 23.34%(-0.20pp YoY),affected by raw material price hikes.On overseas progress,the company has teamed with Google on GPU power supply projects and will work with the customer to advance the full process from product testing to batch delivery.Meanwhile,the company's Vietnam production base has completed construction and commissioning of general and high-power server power supply lines.The company expects small-batch production by end-2026 and mass production in 2027.On products,the company is developing higher-power server power supplies and centralized power supply products,supporting its core competitiveness in the high-power power supply segment through product structure upgrades.
Consumer electronics and others:Incremental growth
In 1H26,consumer electronics power supply revenue was RMB921mn(+11.54%YoY),with double-digit growth despite an industry-wide slowdown,benefiting from new market and client expansion.GPM was 13.26%(-3.93ppYoY),affected by intensified competition,raw material price hikes,and forex fluctuations.In 1H26,LIB equipment power supplies and others generated revenue of RMB428mn(+32.44%YoY);GPM was 10.94%(-7.64pp YoY),owing to lower GPM during new product introduction.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We lower our 2026 attributable NP forecast to RMB208mn and raise our 2027-2028 forecasts to RMB652/926mn(adjusted by-46.97/+1.02/+2.25%vs.previous,with a3Y CAGR of 56.01%),with EPS of RMB1.36/4.27/6.07.The 2026 downward revision reflects lower GPM assumptions due to raw material price hikes;the 2027-2028 upward revisions reflect higher revenue growth and GPM assumptions on overseas client order ramp-up and new category expansion.Given the company's forward-looking positioning with benchmark overseas clients such as Google and ample long-term growth momentum,we value the stock at 59x 2027E PE,vs the peer average of 50.76x on Wind consensus.Our target price is RMB251.98(previous:RMB414.28,based on 70x 2026E PE).
Risks:weaker-than-expected data center demand,new product iterations falling short of expectations,and international trade risks.