Driving Innovation on the Back of API & Specialty Preparation Growth
发布时间:2026-05-21 来源:华泰证券
CR Double-Crane(CRDC)has posted 1Q26 revenue/attributable net profit(NP)/recurring NP of RMB2.81bn/485mn/469mn(-8.84/-4.30/-3.51%YoY).We believe the decline in 1Q revenue and profit was mainly due to:1)lower infusion segment revenue affected by aweaker flu season and pricing adjustments in 1Q;2)reduced inventory stocking in the chronic disease segment during the pricing adjustment transition period for rounds 1-8 of volume-based procurement(VBP)renewals,while some products in other segments were also affected by VBP;3)tighter cost and expense control,which led to asmaller decline in profit relative to revenue.In 2026,considering the gradual recovery in IV infusion demand,the broad-based growth across specialty therapeutic areas leveraging the company's channel advantages,the continued operational efficiency improvement in the API business,and the advancement of innovative drug pipelines,we are optimistic on sequential operational recovery and expect stable profit growth in 2026.Maintain BUY.
Non-infusion:specialty therapeutics support preparation growth
CRDC's non-infusion segment generated 1Q26 revenue of RMB2.14bn(-6.5%YoY),among which chronic disease/specialty/API businesses recorded revenue of RMB0.84/0.73/0.36bn(-14.1/+1.4/+16.8%YoY).In 2026,we expect slight YoY growth in non-infusion segment revenue based on:1)the chronic disease segment being temporarily affected in 1Q by inventory adjustments related to VBP renewals(revenue-14%YoY),with recovery expected in subsequent quarters;2)expanded deployment in specialty segments including pediatrics,nephrology,psychiatry/neurology,oncology,anticoagulation,anesthesia and pain management,and women's health(1Q revenue+1.4%YoY),with strong sales potential for peritoneal dialysis solutions,teniposide injection,brivudine,and ramp-up of newly reimbursed products such as dexmethylphenidate;3)the API business improving operational efficiency through synthetic biology empowerment,cost control,structural optimization,and internationalization,supported by strong growth in APIs such as rifamycin S-Na salt,enoxaparin sodium,and valsartan,with API revenue up by 16.8%YoY in 1Q26.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We maintain our 2026/2027/2028 attributable NP forecasts at RMB1,771/1,907/2,050mn,implying EPS of RMB1.71/1.84/1.97.We maintain our target 2026E PE valuation of 15x(vs its peers'average of 19x on iFind consensus,with the discount mainly reflecting the company's innovation transformation progress),corresponding to our unchanged target price of RMB25.65.