Operation Under Pressure, But Margin Stabilized, CF Improved
发布时间:2026-09-14 来源:华泰证券
Pientzehuang has reported 1H26 revenue/attributable net profit/recurring net profit of RMB4.57/1.09/1.05bn (-15/-24/-27% YoY). For 2Q26, they were RMB1.83/0.35/ 0.33bn (-18/-21/-27% YoY). The pharmaceutical industry faces pressure from both medical insurance policy adjustments and a shrinking consumer market. The company has taken measures to expand markets, channels, and terminals. We expect its exclusive brand advantages, supply control, and cost reductions to help it return to growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Pientzehuang product revenue fell c. 20% in 1H26
Revenue from liver disease drugs (mainly the Pientzehuang single product) fell 19% YoY to RMB2.35bn in 1H26 (down 12% YoY in 1Q26). We estimate domestic sales volume fell 18% YoY and export volume declined 23% YoY in 1H26, given the company began a comprehensive channel overhaul in 2H25. The company added 76 Mingyi/Guoyi clinics and Guoyaotang stores in 1H26, of which 38 were in previously uncovered regions. The cumulative total reached 618 by end-June, as the company advances its "1,000-store" plan. Since 2H25, the company has standardized channels and restored order, and online prices stabilized in 2026. Given the low base in 2H25 (liver disease drugs accounted for 68%/32% of revenue in 1H25/2H25) and channel build-out (inventory clearance, clinic openings, and new use cases), we expect the revenue decline for the Pientzehuang product to narrow in 2026 and to turn positive in 2027.
Gross margin stabilized, cash flow improved
1) Gross margin is showing signs of stabilization. Company gross margin was 45%, 34%, 35%, 24%, 42%, and 36% from 1Q25 to 2Q26 (43% in 2024). Liver disease drug gross margin was 63%, 58%, 60%, 63%, 62%, and 64% (68% in 2024). With bezoar prices falling and bezoar imports improving, we expect gross margin to likely recover in 2026. 2) Net margin was 32%, 19%, 33%, 1%, 27%, and 19% from 1Q25 to 2Q26 (28% in 2024). We anticipate a recovery ahead. 3) Cash received from sales was RMB4.5bn in 1H26, matching revenue. Operating cash flow was RMB1.6bn, well above net profit, due to lower inventory (primarily lower raw materials).
Angong Niuhuang Wan recovered on a low base
1) Revenue from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular drugs (mainly Angong Niuhuang Wan) was RMB80mn in 1H26 (+29% YoY), with a gross margin of 10% (+1pp YoY). Growth was driven by the low base after the sharp decline in 2025 and the launch of a cultured-ingredient version of Angong Niuhuang Wan in 1H26. 2) Cosmetics revenue was RMB310mn in 1H26 (-3% YoY), broadly stable. 3) Pharmaceutical distribution revenue was RMB1.7bn in 1H26 (-14% YoY), with a gross margin of 8.2% (-0.5pp YoY), pressured by volume-based procurement.
Maintain OVERWEIGHT
We maintain our earnings forecasts and expect 2026/27/28 attributable net profit of RMB2.38/2.74/3.14bn (+10.1/15.1/14.9% YoY). We apply a 2026E PE of 56x, a premium to the 20-year median PE of 48x, reflecting Pientzehuang’s exclusivity and the long-term growth potential of innovative products. We maintain our target price of RMB220.91. OVERWEIGHT.
Risks: industry policy risk, weaker market promotion than we expect, and competition risk.