Earnings Grew Robustly Amid Client Base Expansion
发布时间:2026-04-08 来源:华泰证券
Huayu Automotive(Huayu)has released its annual report,achieving 2025 revenue of RMB183,999mn(+8.49%YoY)and an attributable NP of RMB7,207mn(+7.72%YoY;2024 results restated),slightly above our previous estimate of RMB7,105mn,which we attribute mainly to an accelerated recovery of overseas compensation payments among other factors.The recurring NP was RMB6,387mn(+10.92%YoY).For 4Q25,revenue reached RMB53,146mn(+6.05%YoY,+15.09%QoQ),with the attributable NP at RMB2,520mn(+12.97%YoY,+39.65%QoQ).We expect Huayu’s earnings to continue improving as high value-added products gradually ramp up and intelligent capabilities accelerate.Maintain BUY.
Revenue contribution from SAIC Motor rising
By segment,Huayu’s 2025 revenue from interior&exterior parts/metal forming&molds/functional components/electronic&electrical parts reached RMB133.95/6.67/29.19/6.38bn(up 12.2/1.0/9.3/3.7%YoY),with interior&exterior parts and functional components remaining core revenue drivers.Based on our analysis of its consolidated operating revenue,non-SAIC Motor clients accounted for 65.9%of 2025 sales(+3.5pp YoY),with SAIC Volkswagen/Seres/SAIC-GM/Tesla/BYD contributing RMB27.66/12.83/12.82/9.96/9.38bn(15.7/7.3/7.3/5.6/5.3%of total revenue).The company has achieved comprehensive coverage of China’s leading automakers,further diversifying customer concentration risks.
4Q25 GPM marginally enhanced,operating quality improved
For 2025,the company’s core business GPM reached 11.85%(+0.18pp YoY),with the interior&exterior parts/functional components GPMs rising by 0.26/0.10pp YoY.In 4Q25,the GPM increased by 1.5/0.9pp YoY/QoQ to 13.5%,mainly due to ongoing operational efficiency optimization and accelerated recovery of overseas client compensation payments,among other factors.On the cost side,the company further deepened lean management,with the 2025 sales/administrative/R&D expense ratios at 0.46/4.68/3.54%(+0.02/-0.18/-0.13pp YoY).The full-year net operating cash flow was RMB9,523mn(+15.72%YoY),demonstrating steady improvement in operational quality.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We maintain our 2026 attributable NP forecast at RMB7.81bn,while slightly lowering our 2027 net profit forecast by 3%to RMB8.45bn(adversely impacted by fluctuations in effective tax rate assumptions),with our 2028 attributable NP forecast at RMB8.81bn.Considering the company’s still-high proportion of traditional business and JV clients,we assign the stock a2026 PE of 10.9x,below its peers’average of 13.3x on Wind consensus,for our target price of RMB27.03(previous:RMB26.54,on 10.7x 2026E PE).Maintain BUY.
Risks:sales/production of downstream OEMs below our expectations;new products’profitability falling short of our expectations.