Semi & Optical Fiber Quartz Business Poised to Trend Upward
发布时间:2026-05-04 来源:华泰证券
Pacific Quartz has reported 1Q26 revenue of RMB256mn(+1.03%YoY and+0.58%QoQ),attributable net profit of RMB36.77mn(-30.29%YoY,+102.26%QoQ),and recurring net profit of RMB25.22mn(-3.34%YoY,+1,294.61%QoQ),with operating cash flow turning positive.The YoY decline in attributable net profit was mainly due to ahigh base of non-recurring gains in 1Q25.While overall earnings remain pressured by PV quartz sand S/D imbalances,the company's fiber optic light source and semiconductor businesses have demonstrated growth resilience.Sales contribution from these businesses continues to rise,reflecting ahigh-end business structural upgrade.We remain positive on the company's fiber optic quartz sleeve and semiconductor quartz materials businesses,which are likely to benefit from AI-driven global demand growth in fiber optics and semiconductors.We think raw materials localization will support the company's long-term development.Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Likely to benefit from optical fiber volume/price rise in 2026
According to CRU,the spot price of China's G.652.D loose fiber reached RMB94.2 per core kilometer in March 2026,up 165%from January,surpassing the previous cycle peak,while spot prices in the US/Europe/India rose by 48/128/214%from January.Our Communications team noted in its 24 April 2026 report(see our report in Chinese on optical fiber&cable entering ahistoric supercycle)that the current boom is being driven by afundamental S/D rebalancing:on the demand side,AI data center construction and applications like drones are accelerating fiber consumption,while supply remains constrained by the 18-24-month expansion cycle for preform capacity and high utilization rates,leading to awidening S/D gap and atransition from recovery to full-fledged boom.As aglobal leader in high-purity quartz purification and processing,Pacific Quartz supplies the fiber industry with afull range of materials,including high-purity extension tubes,handle rods,and furnace core tubes,positioning it to benefit from downstream demand-driven earnings upside.High-end quartz sleeves serve as the"cornerstone"for specialty fiber products,and we expect the company to leverage its strong product capabilities to deepen partnerships with leading domestic and international fiber/preform manufacturers,accelerating import substitution.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We maintain our 2026/2027/2028 attributable net profit forecast of RMB404/758/1,106mn(representing athree-year CAGR of 93.23%),with EPS of RMB0.75/1.40/2.04.Given the tailwinds of cyclical recovery and structural growth in the fiber optic industry,we expect the company(a leading upstream optical communication auxiliary materials supplier)to benefit from both volume and price growth driven by robust demand and import substitution of quartz sleeves.In addition to Feilihua as acomparable company,we have included Tosoh,a Japanese quartz materials manufacturer also certified by TEL.Considering the growth potential of the company's fiber optic and semiconductor businesses,we further expanded our comparable company list to include fiber optic leaders such as Fiberhome Telecom,Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable,Zhongtian Technology,and Hengtong Optic-electric,as well as semiconductor leaders SMIC,AMEC,and Tokyo Electron among others.Based its peers’average 2027E PE of 42x on VA and iFinD consensus,we assign a42x 2027E PE to the company and raise our target price to RMB58.59(previous:RMB47.84,based on 34x 2027E PE).
Risks:Supply chain security risks,weaker downstream demand than we expect.