Technology Biz. Diversification Unlocking Long Term Potential
发布时间:2026-09-10 来源:华泰证券
Three’s Company has released its 1H26 results:revenue came in at RMB1,981mn(+19.55%YoY),with an attributable net profit of RMB79mn(-45.31%YoY)and arecurring net profit of RMB128mn(+1.29%YoY).The decline in attributable net profit was due to afair-value change loss of RMB73.85mn on its stake in CR Beverage,while the recurring net profit edged up YoY,indicating stable core operations.In 2Q26,revenue was RMB918mn(+9.34%YoY,-13.58%QoQ),with an attributable net profit of RMB68mn(-4.07%YoY,+517.04%QoQ)and arecurring net profit of RMB75mn(-30.76%YoY,+41.10%QoQ);the operating cash flow turned positive QoQ at RMB215mn.Maintain BUY,considering sustained growth in the core marketing business and the long-term growth potential from diversified initiatives in the low-altitude economy and AI.
Main business sustained growth
By segment,1H26 digital marketing services revenue was RMB1,612mn(+19.19%YoY),scenario activity services revenue was RMB147mn(+20.33%YoY),and campus media marketing revenue was RMB16mn(+170.31%YoY),driven by arecovery in budgets from FMCG and financial sector clients.The company’s overall gross margin was 16.33%,down by 2.29pp YoY,owing to ahigher proportion of low-margin advertising agency business;the selling/administrative/R&D/financial expense ratios were 5.81/1.45/0.94/0.34%,down by 2.28/0.25/0.51/0.39pp YoY,with AI empowerment optimizing staffing and delivering notable cost control.For 2Q26,the operating cash flow was RMB215mn,turning positive QoQ,and cash-like assets totaled RMB716mn at period-end,indicating ample capital reserves.
Diversified business presence deepening
The company continued to advance its frontier technology initiatives:Huaying Aviation completed aSeries Afinancing round of over RMB500mn and signed purchase intent agreements for 100 aircraft with five customers including ZTO Group,with the total value exceeding RMB3bn.Through afund,the company invested RMB80mn to increase its stake in Shengshu Technology,positioning in the Vidu video foundation model and Motus embodied intelligence model,which may strengthen AI marketing video production capabilities;meanwhile,its strategic investment in Tianxing Medical was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in May.In April 2026,the company changed its name to‘Three’s Company Future Technology Group,’further upgrading its strategic positioning toward frontier technology exploration and application.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
Considering the non-recurring loss impact in 2026,sustained growth in the core marketing business,continued operating efficiency gains from AI application,and the rollout of new businesses such as the low-altitude economy and AI,we adjust our 2026/2027/2028 attributable net profit forecasts to RMB207/295/373mn(adjusted by-6.81/+4.17/+5.75%vs prior).Peers trade at 45x 2027E PE on average(Wind consensus).Given the profitability pressure on the traditional marketing business and the early-stage nature of AI and low-altitude businesses,we apply adiscount at 39x 2027E PE and raise our target price to RMB54.55(previous:RMB47.47,based on 45x 2026E PE).Maintain BUY.
Risks:Weak ads demand,fair-value volatility in financial assets,progress in emerging businesses(ie,low-altitude economy)missing our estimates.