High Topline Growth in 1Q, Yet Profit Dented by FX Loss
发布时间:2026-05-21 来源:华泰证券
Micro-Tech Nanjing has reported 2025 revenue/attributable net profit/recurring net profit of RMB3,184/570/552mn (+15.6/+3.1/+1.4% YoY), in line with its preliminary results. For 1Q26, revenue/attributable net profit/recurring net profit came in at RMB854/146/143mn (+22.1/-9.0/-11.2% YoY). Net profit growth in 1Q26 lagged revenue growth due to lower gross margins on some products and FX losses. Excluding FX losses, 1Q26 attributable net profit would have been RMB183mn, up 27.3% YoY. We expect overseas earnings to sustain rapid growth and domestic earnings to improve at the margin driven by the “anti-involution” trend in domestic volume-based procurement (VBP). Maintain BUY.
Domestic revenue soft while overseas revenue robust
1) Domestic: Weighed by VBP and other policies, the GI product line and tumor ablation product line saw slower growth. Domestic revenue was RMB1,248mn, down 9.7% YoY, with a gross margin of 63.49%, down 5.20pp YoY. 2) Overseas: The company has completed the acquisition of CME and built a stable global marketing network through multiple overseas subsidiaries in the US, Europe, Japan and elsewhere. Overseas performance was strong in 2025, with revenue of RMB1,915mn, +40.8% YoY. Direct overseas sales rose 61% YoY, now accounting for 55% of overseas revenue. Overseas gross margin was 64.86%, down 1.95pp YoY, diluted by the CME acquisition. Overseas revenue now exceeds 60% of total revenue. By region: Asia-Pacific revenue was RMB1,361mn in 2025, down 5% YoY (of which overseas Asia-Pacific was RMB304mn, up 7% YoY); Americas revenue was RMB701mn, up 21% YoY; Europe, Middle East & Africa (ex-CME) revenue was RMB618mn, up 29% YoY; subsidiary CME contributed consolidated revenue of RMB267mn, up 10% vs the year-ago period.
Endoscopy consumables & tumor intervention grew steadily
Revenue from endoscopy consumables/tumor intervention/visualization products was RMB2,506/193/40mn, changing +7.7/-11.7/+11.7% YoY. Domestic sales of some products were affected by VBP in 2025. We note the company optimized its product mix and steadily destocked channels, shifting its domestic marketing model from channel-driven to end-user sell-through-driven, thereby stabilizing the fundamentals of its domestic business.
1Q26 financial expense ratio rose YoY; gross margin fell YoY
For 2025, the selling/administrative/R&D/financial expense ratios were 23.43/ 13.62/6.25/-2.07%, changing -0.03/+0.23/-0.08/-0.27pp YoY. In 1Q26, these ratios were 20.13/12.45/5.48/3.73%, changing -1.20/-1.48/+0.03/+8.25pp YoY. The sharp YoY increase in the 1Q26 financial expense ratio was mainly due to FX losses. Gross margin was 64.09% in 2025 and 64.01% in 1Q26, down 3.56/1.68pp YoY. The YoY decline reflects a combination of VBP and price competition, dilution from the CME acquisition, US tariffs, and shifts in product mix.
Domestic endoscopy consumables leader; maintain BUY
Given the impact of VBP on both domestic revenue and gross margin, we lower our revenue and gross margin forecasts. We forecast attributable net profit of RMB628/764/910mn for 2026/2027/2028 (-11/-9% vs prior 2026/2027 estimates), up 10.1/21.7/19.0% YoY, implying EPS of RMB3.34/4.07/4.84. We note that the company continues to strengthen its overseas channel infrastructure, and the CME acquisition is delivering results, which should sustain rapid overseas revenue growth, in our view. Its Thailand manufacturing center commenced operations in January 2026, enhancing global delivery efficiency, supply chain resilience and cost-structure competitiveness. Meanwhile, the domestic business may also improve once the VBP impact is absorbed. We assign a 28x PE for 2026E (vs the 2026E Wind consensus-based peer average of 20x), with a target price of RMB93.59 (previous RMB97.65, based on 26x 2026E PE).
Risks: Lower volume under VBP than we expect, the negative impact of overseas tariff policies, a slower-than-expected ramp-up of new products.