2H26 Tailwinds: Power Upcycle and Foundry Tightness
发布时间:2026-10-14 来源:华泰证券
A leading integrated semiconductor company with capabilities spanning chip design, mask manufacturing, wafer fabrication, packaging and testing, China Resources Microelectronics (CR Micro) could benefit from the semiconductor upcycle, improving supply-demand dynamics in power semiconductors and tight foundry capacity. For 1H26, revenue reached RMB6.1bn (+17.44% YoY), the gross margin was 26.6% (+0.97pp YoY), and the attributable NP reached RMB722mn (+113.23% YoY). For 2Q26, revenue came in at RMB3.3bn (+14.24% YoY, +14.49% QoQ), the gross margin was 27.6% (+1.67pp YoY, +2.12pp QoQ), and the attributable NP reached RMB392mn (+53.53% YoY, +18.91% QoQ). YoY earnings growth accelerated, mainly driven by higher capacity utilization and product price hikes. A leading power semiconductor IDM, CR Micro continues to broaden its process capabilities across BCD, CMOS, memory, and other technologies, supporting its long-term growth potential. Our target price is RMB87.51. Maintain BUY.
1H26: IDM drives solid revenue growth; GPM mildly recovered
1) Products and Solutions generated revenue of RMB3.5bn (+23.18% YoY), accounting for 56.99% of total revenue (+2.65pp YoY), with the gross margin at 22.91% (+1.07pp YoY). Broad new-energy applications, smart devices, home appliances, industrial equipment and emerging applications contributed 37%/22%/21%/12%/8% of segment revenue, respectively. 2) Manufacturing and Services posted revenue of RMB2.5bn (+11.72% YoY), accounting for 40.83% of total revenue (-2.09pp YoY), with the gross margin at 32.35% (+1.22pp YoY). The YoY earnings improvement was jointly driven by the semiconductor upcycle, solid orders, capacity utilization approaching full loading, and price adjustments for selected products. CR Micro recorded an attributable NP of RMB722mn (+113.23% YoY) for 1H26. Excluding RMB220mn in fair-value gains on investments and other nonrecurring items, the recurring attributable NP reached RMB414mn (+51.48% YoY).
Earnings forecast and valuation
Supported by a gradual recovery in the mature-node semiconductor cycle and the broad rollout of CR Micro’s multi-process platforms, we broadly maintain our 2026/2027/2028 revenue forecasts of RMB13.5bn/RMB17.1bn/RMB21.0bn, with growth of +21.7%/+27.0%/+23.1% YoY. We also broadly maintain our 2026/2027/2028 attributable NP forecasts of RMB1.3bn/RMB1.8bn/RMB2.5bn, with growth of +94.0%/+40.9%/+39.8% YoY. We forecast 2027E BPS of RMB19.58 and apply 4.5x 2027E PB, a 10% premium over the 4.1x average for comparable companies based on Wind consensus. The premium reflects CR Micro’s leading capabilities in 12-inch manufacturing and BCD processes, as well as its earlier earnings recovery. We raise our target price to RMB87.51 from RMB81.02, previously based on 4.1x 2026E PB, and maintain BUY.
Risks: intensifying industry competition, product price declines, weaker development than we expect of new technologies and products.