Intelligent Products to Unlock New Growth Drivers in AI Era
发布时间:2026-05-22 来源:华泰证券
For 2025/1Q26, H&T Intelligent Control's (H&T) revenue was RMB10,722/ 2,815mn (+11.00/+8.88% YoY), and attributable net profit (NP) was RMB663/ 170mn (+82.12/+0.34% YoY). Its 2025 attributable NP slightly missed our forecast of RMB704mn, mainly associated with the delivery cycles of some projects. H&T’s 2025 earnings recorded stellar growth, as the company explored new fields and new clients, and enhanced end-to-end operational efficiency through supply chain integration. In addition, its subsidiary Chengchang Technology's profit recovery helped improve the company's profitability. We believe "AI+" is driving a full-scenario intelligent revolution, bringing new development opportunities for the company in fields such as smart home appliances, personal care, and gaming. We expect its multi-scenario and widely-connected intelligent product ecosystem to help the company unlock medium-/long-term growth potential. Maintain BUY.
Home appliance segment: market share expanded steadily
By business line, the home appliance controller segment serves as one of the company's solid fundamentals. For 2025, its revenue grew by 12.62% YoY to RMB6,863mn, as scale breakthroughs in H&T’s stronghold product lines, as well as new clients/new projects, steadily expanded its market share. Revenue from the power tool and industrial automation segment fell by 0.28% YoY to RMB1,005mn, mainly due to the strategic business transformation. The increase in new clients and projects prolonged product development cycles, slightly slowing down the overall delivery pace. Revenue from the automotive electronics segment climbed by 15.28% YoY to RMB941mn. In addition to buoyant shipments to tier-1 customers and ongoing scale expansion, the company's proprietary product lines showed rapid shipment ramp-ups. For 2025, revenue from the intelligent product segment was RMB1,276mn (+4.61% YoY). The company is building a closed loop of data-computing-service, accelerating the progress in intelligent products, and shaping a multi-scenario and widely-connected product suite.
Maintain BUY
To factor in the impact of rising bulk commodity prices and electronic components on earnings, we lower our 2026/2027 attributable NP forecasts by 4/10% to RMB869/1,088mn (previous: RMB904/1,204mn) and add our 2028 forecast of RMB1,310mn. SOTP valuation: ST Chengchang Technology's market cap is RMB29.0bn. Considering the company's 47.2% stake, the corresponding valuation is RMB13.7bn. While thriving AI applications are bringing new opportunities for the company, to reflect the impact of rising upstream raw material prices, we lower our valuation premium. We value the intelligent controller segment at 40x 2026E PE, above its peers' average of 39.38x on Wind consensus, for a market cap of RMB31,588mn. In summary, the total market cap is RMB45,276mn. Our target price is RMB48.95 (previous: RMB59.84, based on 62x 2026E PE for the intelligent controller segment and a valuation of RMB6,089mn for ST Chengchang Technology). Maintain BUY.
Risks: Substantial price hikes of upstream components; weaker intelligent controller demand than we expect, weaker RF chip demand than we expect.