Rapid Growth in Overseas Revenue
发布时间:2026-04-10 来源:华泰证券
MeiG Smart Technology (MeiG) has reported 2025 revenue of RMB3.7bn, up by 27.39% YoY, and an attributable NP of RMB143mn, up by 5.27% YoY, below our expectation of RMB161mn, mainly because the gross margin came under short-term pressure. For 4Q25, revenue was RMB926mn, up by 21.93% YoY, while the attributable NP was RMB30mn, down by 33.17% YoY. In 2025, the company accelerated expansion in intelligent modules and overseas markets. Looking ahead, we remain positive on the company’s opportunities in FWA, broad IoT, and edge AI. We maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Strong overseas sales growth driven by smart modules & 5G
By product, revenue from wireless communication modules and solutions reached RMB3.6bn, up by 28.49% YoY. Specifically, revenue from the IoT and wireless broadband segments both maintained rapid growth, while revenue from the smart connected vehicle segment declined slightly. Revenue from other businesses was RMB138mn, up by 4.18% YoY. By region, overseas revenue reached RMB1.4bn, up by 74.47% YoY, accounting for 37.39% of total revenue. This was mainly driven by demand for smart module products and 5G wireless broadband products in the IoT industry, as well as higher shipments to major overseas customers. In wireless broadband, customers in Japan, North America, and Europe started large-scale shipments of 5G products, which accelerated revenue growth. Domestic revenue reached RMB2.3bn, up by 9.72% YoY.
Short-term GPM fluctuation, with solid expense control
For 2025, the company’s blended gross margin (GPM) was 14.12%, down by 2.91pp YoY. The decline mainly reflected changes in the shipment mix and cyclical price increases in memory chips, which brought pressure on costs. For 4Q25, the blended GPM was 17.13%, up by 4.46 pp QoQ, showing signs of stabilization and recovery. Expense control remained solid. In 2025, the selling, administrative, and R&D expense ratios were 1.80%, 1.87%, and 6.03%, down by 0.21pp, 0.27pp, and 1.04pp YoY, respectively.
Long-term positive on exposure to edge AI opportunities
In the near term, demand in downstream markets such as FWA and broad IoT should remain healthy. At the same time, the company is actively expanding its presence in smart modules and computing modules. According to the annual report, as on-device computing applications penetrate the IoT industry more quickly, the company’s smart modules and high-computing-power modules serve as computing platforms that provide terminal-side and edge-side processing capacity for different IoT end products. MeiG is also stepping up efforts to accelerate the commercial rollout of on-device computing applications across IoT fields. In smart connected vehicles, MeiG’s differentiated smart cockpit solution, which integrates 5G communication with smart computing, continues to lead. We think that, as edge AI use cases continue to expand, the computing module business may develop into a new earnings growth driver.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
Given the pressure on the GPM, we revise down our GPM and earnings forecasts for 2026 and 2027, and introduce our 2028 forecasts. We estimate attributable NP at RMB206mn, RMB263mn, and RMB310mn for 2026, 2027, and 2028, cuts of 4% and 5% for 2026 and 2027, respectively. In line with comparable companies’ average PE on Wind consensus, we apply 64x 2026E PE for MeiG (previously 87x 2025E PE). Our target price is RMB43.64 (previously RMB53.20). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Risks: intensified competition in the IoT module industry; slower progress than we expect in customer development