Accelerating Investment in PCB, Semiconductor, and Perovskite
发布时间:2026-05-20 来源:华泰证券
SC New Energy Technology has reported 2025 revenue/attributable net profit(NP)/recurring NP of RMB15,472/2,617/2,360mn(-18.08/-5.30/-8.03%YoY),with the 4Q25 revenue/attributable NP at RMB2,366mn/-RMB71,197.0k(-63.84/-109.61%YoY).For 1Q26,revenue/attributable NP were RMB1,495/270mn(-63.52/-61.83%YoY).We believe the decline in revenue and profit was mainly due to the phased supply-demand imbalance in the PV industry,which led to weaker equipment tendering and affected revenue recognition.Nevertheless,we remain positive on the company's multi-dimensional growth prospects as it continues expanding into perovskite,PCB,semiconductor,and other businesses.BUY.
Order intake and revenue declined amid PV industry cyclicality
As the PV industry entered adeeper adjustment phase in 2025 and overall new PV cell capacity additions declined,the company's newly signed orders and order backlog also trended downward.By segment,2025 revenue from process equipment/automation equipment/spare parts and others was RMB12,663/2,081/728mn(-22.19/+3.35/+21.27%YoY),with gross margins of 26.93/26.91/55.13%(+0.34/+5.58/+15.11pp YoY).Contract liabilities were RMB4,610mn and RMB4,590mn at end-2025 and end-1Q26,respectively,down from RMB6,481mn at end-3Q25.Despite the overall revenue decline,gross margins across business segments improved,reflecting stronger cost control capabilities and enhanced product competitiveness,in our view.Going forward,we expect the development of non-PV businesses to offset the contraction in PV operations.
Ongoing expansion in PCB,semiconductor,and perovskite
The 2025/1Q26 overall gross margins were 28.26/34.59%,up by 1.80/7.07pp YoY,which we attribute mainly to optimize product mix,stronger competitiveness,and improved margins from components and retrofit businesses.The 2025/1Q26 overall expense ratios were 5.79/15.68%(+1.06/+10.33pp YoY).The increase was mainly due to lower revenue and continued R&D investment expansion.In the PV sector,the company is actively deploying next-generation perovskite equipment while strengthening its semiconductor integrated circuit wet-process equipment,silicon carbide,and advanced packaging equipment businesses.It is also expanding into lithium battery and PCB fields,having developed products such as composite aluminum/copper foil winding coating machines and optical coating machines,which have been applied in lithium batteries,optoelectronic displays,consumer electronics,and other key sectors.The company's self-developed first fully automated transfer-type via-filling electroplating equipment was successfully shipped in March 2026,continuously advancing high-end equipment technologies across industries.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We lower our 2026/2027 attributable NP forecasts by 21.94/13.24%to RMB1,270/1,147mn and introduce a2028 attributable NP forecast of RMB1,459mn.The downward revision mainly reflects phased pressure on PV industry fundamentals and the impact of earlier order declines on future revenue recognition.We value the stock at 35x 2026E PE,at par with its peers'average on iFind consensus,with our target price raised RMB127.75(previous:RMB126.09,based on 27x 2026E PE).Although earnings forecasts were revised downward,the target price increased due to higher valuation multiples among comparable companies.
Risks:Slower downstream PV capacity expansion than we expect;weaker progress in perovskite technology than we expect;weaker progress in semiconductor business development than we expect.