换肤

北鼎股份

i问董秘
企业号

300824

业绩预测

截至2026-10-20,6个月以内共有 7 家机构对北鼎股份的2026年度业绩作出预测;
预测2026年每股收益 0.36 元,较去年同比增长 2.86%, 预测2026年净利润 1.17 亿元,较去年同比增长 3.04%

[["2019","0.40","0.66","SJ"],["2020","0.53","1.00","SJ"],["2021","0.33","1.08","SJ"],["2022","0.14","0.47","SJ"],["2023","0.22","0.71","SJ"],["2024","0.21","0.70","SJ"],["2025","0.35","1.14","SJ"],["2026","0.36","1.17","YC"],["2027","0.43","1.39","YC"]]
单位:元汇总--预测年报每股收益
年度 预测机构数 最小值 均值 最大值 行业平均数
2026 7 0.33 0.36 0.41 2.50
2027 7 0.40 0.43 0.46 3.30
2028 6 0.45 0.50 0.56 4.11
单位:亿元汇总--预测年报净利润
年度 预测机构数 最小值 均值 最大值 行业平均数
2026 7 1.07 1.17 1.34 58.53
2027 7 1.30 1.39 1.50 72.99
2028 6 1.46 1.61 1.83 88.66

预测数据根据各机构发布的研究报告摘录所得,与本终端立场无关。

业绩预测详表

调高调低
机构名称 研究员 预测年报每股收益(元) 预测年报净利润(元) 报告日期
2026预测 2027预测 2028预测 2026预测 2027预测 2028预测
华泰证券 樊俊豪 0.35 0.42 0.48 1.14亿 1.37亿 1.56亿 2026-08-17
国盛证券 徐程颖 0.35 0.41 0.49 1.14亿 1.35亿 1.59亿 2026-08-14
国投证券 余昆 0.38 0.46 0.56 1.24亿 1.50亿 1.83亿 2026-04-23
山西证券 陈玉卢 0.34 0.40 0.45 1.10亿 1.30亿 1.46亿 2026-04-23
详细指标预测
预测指标 2023(实际值) 2024(实际值) 2025(实际值) 预测2026(平均) 预测2027(平均) 预测2028(平均)
营业收入(元) 6.65亿 7.54亿 9.51亿
10.99亿
12.53亿
14.20亿
营业收入增长率 -17.33% 13.28% 26.13%
15.60%
14.04%
13.27%
利润总额(元) 7847.37万 7420.22万 1.24亿
1.27亿
1.50亿
1.76亿
净利润(元) 7135.73万 6950.87万 1.14亿
1.17亿
1.39亿
1.61亿
净利润增长率 51.92% -2.59% 63.35%
1.71%
19.59%
16.34%
每股现金流(元) 0.45 0.34 0.45
0.40
0.50
0.42
每股净资产(元) 2.28 2.16 2.30
2.55
2.83
3.17
净资产收益率 9.82% 9.62% 15.64%
13.93%
14.95%
15.55%
市盈率(动态) 36.67 37.51 22.91
22.63
19.03
16.30

预测数据根据各机构发布的研究报告摘录所得,与本终端立场无关。

时间范围
更多>>
买      入 华泰证券:Robust Domestic Brand; Earnings Hinge on Efficiency 2026-08-17
摘要:Given weakness in the overseas and ODM businesses, together with profitability pressure from channel restructuring, brand marketing and R&D investment, and the new-factory ramp-up, we lower our 2026-2028 EPS forecasts to RMB0.35, RMB0.42 and RMB0.48 from RMB0.40, RMB0.46 and RMB0.51, representing cuts of 12.5%, 8.7% and 5.9%, respectively. As of August 13, 2026, comparable companies traded at an average of 32x 2026E PE based on Wind consensus. Given the company’s elevated near-term expense ratio and limited visibility on earnings conversion, we apply a valuation discount and value the company at 30x 2026E PE. We derive a target price of RMB10.5, down from RMB14.0 previously, which was based on 35x 2026E PE. Maintain BUY. 查看全文>>
买      入 国盛证券:自主品牌增势良好,汇兑短期影响盈利 2026-08-14
摘要:盈利预测与投资建议:考虑到公司2026H1销售费用支出较多及汇兑方面影响,我们预计公司2026-2028年归母净利润分别为1.14/1.35/1.59亿元,同比+0.1%/+18.7%/+17.8%,维持“买入”评级。 查看全文>>
买      入 华泰证券:内销品牌延续高增,盈利仍待经营提效 2026-08-13
摘要:考虑海外及ODM业务偏弱,同时渠道调整、品牌营销研发投入及新工厂爬坡导致盈利能力承压,我们下调2026-28年EPS预测至0.35/0.42/0.48元(前值0.40/0.46/0.51元,分别下调12.5%/8.7%/5.9%)。截至2026/8/13,Wind可比公司2026年平均32xPE,考虑公司短期费用率较高、盈利兑现仍需验证,我们给予公司一定估值折价,以2026年30xPE估值,对应目标价10.5元(前值14.0元,基于26年35xPE),维持“买入”评级。 查看全文>>
买      入 华泰证券:Strong Domestic Demand; Look Through ST Profit Volatility 2026-04-27
摘要:Looking to 2026, we think that the company’s domestic proprietary brand business should remain the main growth driver. Retail data has already validated brand strength. Although overseas and ODM businesses are still affected by external disruptions, the overall trend of revenue-mix optimization remains unchanged. Therefore, we maintain our EPS forecasts for 2026, 2027, and 2028 at RMB0.40, RMB0.46, and RMB0.51. As of 22 April 2026, the average valuation for comparable companies was 34x 2026E PE on Wind consensus. Although national subsidies have started to taper off, the company’s domestic brand business has remained strong, reflecting continued improvement in brand strength and channel capabilities. At the same time, valuations for some comparable companies are relatively high. On a prudent basis, we apply 35x 2026E PE and maintain our target price of RMB14.00. 查看全文>>
买      入 华泰证券:内销景气高,不惧短期利润波动 2026-04-23
摘要:展望2026年,公司国内自主品牌业务仍是主要的增长拉动力,终端零售已验证品牌景气度,虽然海外及ODM仍受外部环境扰动,但整体收入结构优化趋势未变。因此我们维持26-28年预测EPS为0.40/0.46/0.51元。截至2026/4/22,Wind一致预期可比公司26年平均PE为34x,考虑到国补虽然退坡,但公司国内品牌业务表现积极,反映出公司品牌力及渠道力继续提升,同时部分可比公司估值较高,审慎起见,给予公司26年35xPE,维持目标价14.00元。 查看全文>>

评级根据各机构发布的研究报告摘录所得,不代表本终端的立场。

评级 说明
公司评级 报告发布日后的12个月内,公司的涨跌幅度相对同期沪深300指数的涨跌幅为基准
买 入/推 荐 相对大盘涨幅大于10%
增 持/谨慎推荐 相对大盘涨幅在5%~10%之间
中 性/持 有 相对大盘涨幅在-5%~5%之间
减 持/卖 出 相对大盘涨幅小于-5%
注:以上为一般划分准则,具体评级请参考对应研究报告。