Poised to Make a Difference in New Category and Globalization
发布时间:2026-04-29 来源:华泰证券
Guangdong Deerma Technology(Deerma)has released its 2025 annual report and 1Q26 results,reporting 2025 revenue of RMB3,432mn(-2.8%YoY)and an attributable NP of RMB130mn(-8.9%YoY),with the recurring NP down by 39.8%YoY.Both revenue and attributable NP were slightly below our previous expectations of RMB3,654/147mn,mainly due to lukewarm demand for cleaning appliances and non-recurring income fluctuations.For 1Q26,revenue was RMB649mn(-16.6%YoY)and the attributable NP was RMB21.78mn(-7.8%YoY),with revenue under short-term pressure but amanageable profit decline.We think that the company is in aphase of optimizing its product mix and operational quality,facing short-term demand and competitive disruptions,but the resilience of its Philips-licensed,water-health,and personal care businesses remains intact.Additionally,Deerma plans to distribute acash dividend of RMB0.15/share.Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Water health&personal care supported product mix upgrade
By category,in 2025,home environment revenue was RMB1,234mn(-10.8%YoY),with the gross margin down by 3.84pp YoY,mainly due to intensified competition in cleaning appliances and new product launches;water-health revenue was RMB1,432mn(+2.9%YoY),with the gross margin up by 4.5pp YoY to 39.2%,reflecting the Philips brand premium and new product mix upgrades;personal care revenue was RMB747mn(+2.2%YoY),maintaining stable expansion.We think that the company’s operational highlight lies in the increasing proportion of high-margin water-health products,offsetting volatility in traditional cleaning business,with business structure optimization continuing to strengthen.
Globalization&licensing:Philips globalization value realized
For 2025,overseas revenue reached RMB750mn(+6.7%YoY),accounting for 21.9%of total revenue,sustaining the globalization expansion trend.The company has secured new Philips massage category licensing for Europe and the US,while advancing localized operations in Southeast Asia,Japan,South Korea,and Europe.We think that the scarcity of brand licensing and channel expansion capabilities are key value drivers for the company’s valuation premium.Under the dual-brand strategy,‘Deerma’covers the mass market with cost-effective products,while‘Philips’targets the premium health segment,potentially forming aclearer tiered growth path in the medium to long term.
GPM improved;cost optimization proceeded
For 2025,the overall gross margin was 30.9%(+0.33pp YoY),with the online gross margin up by 3.1pp YoY,reflecting operational efficiency improvements;the overall expense ratio increased by 1.9pp YoY due to operating leverage,with all expense ratios rising.While revenue was under pressure in 1Q26,the decline in the attributable NP was smaller than the revenue decline,demonstrating resilient operating leverage.We think that the company has shifted from scale expansion to an efficiency-focused phase,with expense optimization potentially serving as akey driver for future profit improvement.
Valuation premium backed by growth attribute&licensing
Considering the company’s weaker performance in cleaning appliances,we lower our revenue forecasts.Given the competitive landscape in the existing market,we also trim our gross margin expectations.We adjust our 2026/2027 EPS forecasts to RMB0.31/0.33(down by 10.9/9.5%)and introduce our 2028 EPS forecast of RMB0.36.As of 27 April 2026,the average 2026E PE for comparable companies on Wind consensus was 19x.We consider the following factors:1)the scarcity of Philips licensing business;2)structural growth in water-health and personal care segments;and 3)global expansion potentially lifting the valuation range.We thus assign 33x 2026E PE,resulting in our target price of RMB10.23(previous:RMB11.20 based on 35x 2025E PE).
Risks:new domestic product promotion trailing our estimates;overseas demand declines;intensifying price competition;expansion in Philips licensing falling short of our expectations.