High-Speed Electronic Resin Demand Staying Elevated
发布时间:2026-05-07 来源:华泰证券
Sichuan EM Technology has announced its 2025 and 1Q26 results: 2025 revenue reached RMB5.18bn (+16% YoY), the attributable NP was RMB285mn (+58% YoY), and the recurring NP was RMB232mn (+87% YoY). For 4Q25, revenue was RMB1.38bn (+13% YoY, +0.5% QoQ), while the attributable NP was RMB2.5mn (+105% YoY, -97% QoQ), below our estimate of RMB18mn, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. The company proposed a cash dividend of RMB0.05/share. For 1Q26, the NP exceeded our estimate of RMB140mn, primarily driven by RMB80mn of investment income. Maintain BUY, given the strong growth potential of the company’s electronic resin business.
Electronic material volume/price rose YoY
In the electronic materials segment, the company supplies multiple globally renowned CCL manufacturers, with 2025 sales volume up by 27% YoY to 75,000 tonnes. The proportion of high-value products such as high-speed electronic resins increased, driving the ASP up by 14% YoY to RMB21,000/tonne. Segment revenue rose by 45% YoY to RMB1.55bn, with the GPM improving by 5.9pp YoY to 20.1%. In the optical films segment, products such as optical-grade polyester base films for polarizers and MLCCs saw volume expansion, with 2025 sales volume up by 31% YoY to 129,000 tonnes and segment revenue up by 26% YoY to RMB1.42bn. For new energy materials, sales volume declined by 14% YoY to 56,000 tonnes due to intensified industry competition and downstream demand pressure, while higher-value products such as ultra-thin PP films saw ramped-up sales, lifting the ASP by 9% YoY to RMB23,000/tonne. Segment revenue fell by 6% YoY to RMB1.29bn, but the GPM improved by 1.6pp YoY to 15.7%, mainly due to an increasing proportion of high-value products.
1Q26 attributable NP grew YoY; demand in emerging fields robust
According to the 1Q26 results report, the company’s attributable NP surged by 103% YoY to RMB187mn, mainly driven by growing demand in emerging fields and an RMB77.69mn investment gain from the disposal of its 31.43% stake in Henan Huajia. In electronic materials, robust downstream demand for high-speed electronic resins lifted the 1Q26 segment ASP by 36% YoY to RMB28,000/tonne, with sales volume up by 26% YoY to 18,000 tonnes, driving segment revenue up by 71% YoY to RMB537mn—including RMB258mn from high-speed electronic resins, up by 131% YoY. For optical films, the ASP fell by 3% YoY to RMB11,100/tonne, but sales volume rose by 21% YoY to 32,000 tonnes, pushing segment revenue up by 18% YoY to RMB353mn, primarily due to strong demand for optical polyester base films and capacity ramping up. The company’s 1Q26 GPM improved by 0.7pp YoY to 17.1%, supported by expanding high-value products. According to the 2025 annual report, projects such as the ‘25,000-tonne optical-grade polyester base film for polarizers’ were capitalized on schedule with stable output, while the ‘20,000-tonne electronic materials for high-speed communication substrates’ project progressed as scheduled. Additionally, the company is advancing key incubation projects such as photoresist monomers and proton exchange membranes, accelerating pilot testing, customer onboarding, and industrialization.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We largely maintain our 2026/2027 attributable NP forecasts at RMB725mn/1.44bn and introduce our 2028 estimate of RMB1.95bn, with YoY growth of 154/98/36% YoY for 2026/2027/2028, and EPS of RMB0.72/1.42/1.93. In view of its peers’ average 2027E PE of 23x on Wind consensus and considering the company’s growth potential from ongoing projects, its leading position in hydrocarbon resins, and favorable downstream demand, we assign 30x 2027E PE, deriving our target price of RMB42.60 (previous: RMB34.08, based on 24x 2027E PE). Maintain BUY.
Risks: slower progress of new projects than we expect; disappointing pace of import substitution; operational risks.