Bullish on Optical Communications and Emerging CIS Businesses
发布时间:2026-09-04 来源:华泰证券
OmniVision's 1H26 revenue/attributable net profit (NP)/recurring attributable NP were RMB14,025/1,220/1,242mn (+0.49/-39.85/-36.33% YoY). Revenue in 2Q26 was RMB7,611mn (+18.65% QoQ), demonstrating a notable QoQ recovery. The company expects 3Q26 revenue of RMB7,578-8,130mn (-0.43% to +6.83% QoQ) and gross margin of 29.35-30.65% (+1.08 to +2.38pp QoQ). We are bullish on the high-end evolution of automotive CIS, alongside the scaling up of emerging businesses such as optical communications and robotics, driving quarter-by- quarter earnings recovery. Maintain BUY.
1H26 review: Higher agency business share dragged margins
For 1H26, semiconductor design revenue was RMB10,671mn (-7.79% YoY), accounting for 76.09% of main business revenue, while agency distribution revenue reached RMB3,263mn (+41.01% YoY), accounting for 23.27%. An higher share of lower-margin agency revenue reduced overall gross margin by 1.70pp YoY. Coupled with a RMB108mn YoY increase in R&D spend, exchange losses, and the implementation of Pillar Two global minimum tax pushing up income tax by c. RMB140mn, attributable NP were dragged down. According to company announcements, 3Q26 revenue guidance is RMB7,578-8,130mn (-3.18% to +3.87% YoY, -0.43% to +6.83% QoQ) with gross margin at 29.35-30.65% (+1.08 to +2.38pp QoQ). The expanding share of product lines such as autonomous driving, professional imaging, machine vision, and robotics, alongside growing high-end product market share, is poised to drive margin improvement, in our view.
CIS structural upgrades across smartphones, automobiles, and emerging markets
According to the interim report, 1H26 image sensor revenue was RMB9,254mn, accounting for 66.05% of main business revenue. Product structures continued iterating: In smartphone CIS, 50MP and 1-inch large-format flagship products entered domestic mainstream high-end Android models, while 200MP applications expanded. In automotive CIS, as the world's largest automotive image sensor vendor, OmniVision upgraded its product specifications from 3MP (surround view)/ 8MP (front ADAS) to 12MP, with 8MP accelerating adoption. Premium vehicles feature 7-12 cameras per car, driving volume and price growth. In emerging markets, we see rapid growth in professional imaging, machine vision, robotics, and edge AI. Robotics CIS covers industrial robots, embodied AI data collection, and humanoid robots, while edge AI targets AR/AI glasses and smart wearables.
Target price at RMB107.2, maintain BUY
Considering pressures on smartphone CIS and elevated R&D spend during strategic transition, we lower our 2026/2027/2028 attributable NP forecasts by 21.5/12.4/11.3% to RMB3,365/4,551/5,191mn (EPS at RMB2.68/3.62/4.13) and adjust our revenue forecasts down to RMB30,231/34,760/38,890mn (previous: RMB32,366/36,573/40,365mn). Given its global automotive CIS leadership and new growth avenues in optical communications and robotics, we value the stock at 40x 2026E PE (a discount to its peers' average of 51.9x on Wind consensus to reflect cyclical demand pressures in automotive and consumer electronics). Our target price is RMB107.2 (previous: RMB108.8 on 32x 2026E PE; target multiple raised due to sector re-rating). Maintain BUY.
Risks: global semiconductor downturn, smartphone demand missing our expectations, intensified competition.