Order Wins to Solidify Profit Base
发布时间:2026-08-03 来源:华泰证券
L&K Engineering has reported 1H26 results:revenue reached RMB2,548mn(+51.36%YoY),attributable net profit came in at RMB490mn(+204.80%YoY),and recurring net profit was RMB490mn(+205.75%YoY),in line with the company's earlier profit alert.For 2Q26,revenue was RMB1,417mn(+67.08%YoY,+25.38%QoQ),with attributable net profit of RMB242mn(+207.28%YoY,-2.21%QoQ).According to the group's latest investor conference,new orders in Southeast Asia reached approximately RMB57.4bn in 1H26,already far exceeding the full-year 2025 total.The order backlog stands at nearly RMB70bn.Given that new cleanroom and MEP projects in Southeast Asia should be undertaken by the subsidiary,we believe L&K Engineering's potential order backlog may have grown well ahead of market expectations.Maintain BUY.
Singapore subsidiary:1H26 gross/net margin 30.3/25.4%
For 1H26,gross margin was 24.25%,+7.36pp YoY/-4.3pp HoH.For 2Q26,gross margin was 23.63%,+3.3pp YoY/-1.4pp QoQ.We attribute the sequential margin decline primarily to ahigher revenue mix from China mainland and Vietnam.In 1H26,China mainland&Vietnam/Singapore generated revenue of RMB820mn/RMB1,730mn,with the China mainland&Vietnam revenue share rising 13pp HoH from 2H25.The Singapore subsidiary posted net profit of RMB440mn.We estimate 1H26 Singapore gross margin at 30.3%,+10.6pp YoY/-1.4pp HoH,and net margin at 25.4%,+13.3pp YoY/-2.3pp HoH.As of end-1H26,accounts receivable on the balance sheet jumped 143%from end-2025 to RMB1,107mn,mainly due to ashort-cycle increase in billed-but-uncollected amounts from Singapore projects during the settlement cycle.This drove apassive rise in 1H26 impairment provisions to RMB27mn(vs.a reversal of RMB12mn in 1H25),causing some near-term volatility in Singapore's net margin.
Group order backlog near RMB70bn at end-1H26
According to the group's latest investor conference(24 July 2026),new orders in Southeast Asia reached TWD276.4bn(RMB57.4bn)in 1H26,up 194%from 11M25.As of end-1H26,the group's Southeast Asia order backlog stood at TWD334.5bn(RMB69.5bn),up 281%from end-November 2025.Under the non-compete agreement,new cleanroom and MEP projects in Southeast Asia should be undertaken by the subsidiary.Major projects under construction in Singapore are predominantly full-turnkey contracts for wafer foundry or memory fabrication facilities.We estimate that the subsidiary L&K Engineering's share of the backlog,including orders pending allocation from the group,accounts for nearly half of the total,which should support revenue conversion and profit delivery.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
Given the stronger-than-we-expected growth in the order backlog,including orders pending allocation from the group,we raise our 2026/2027/2028 attributable net profit forecasts to RMB1,556/2,554/3,287mn(unchanged/+17.97%/+37.52%vs.previous),implying athree-year CAGR of 54.44%and EPS of RMB7.30/11.97/15.40.The average 2026E PE for comparable companies is 38x on Wind consensus.We assign a38x 2026E PE,lifting our target price to RMB277.40(previous:RMB235.62,on 32x 2026E PE).In mid-2026,the company distributed acash dividend of RMB1.65/share from 2025 residual distributable profit,implying arestated 2025 dividend payout ratio of 79%.The payout ratio has risen each year over the past three years.Assuming an 80%payout ratio is maintained over the next three years,we forecast 2026/2027/2028 dividend yields of 3.15/5.31/7.55%.We deem the dividend cushion at the current share price substantial.BUY.
Risks:escalating geopolitical conflicts,sharper-than-we-expected slowdown in semiconductor industry capex,and settlement delays.