Tech-led Strategy to Add Growth Driver After Earnings Rally
发布时间:2026-08-23 来源:华泰证券
Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts(Jifeng)reported 1H26 revenue/attributable net profit(NP)/recurring NP of RMB13,078/365/308mn(+24.28/+137.26/+63.48%YoY).For 2Q26,revenue was RMB6,836mn(+24.61%YoY,+9.52%QoQ),and attributable NP was RMB233mn(+372.28%YoY,+77.32%QoQ).Earnings were in line with the midpoint of Jifeng’s profit alert.We believe the seat segment's rising high-quality orders and profitability,coupled with Grammer's leaner operations post consolidation,will translate to earnings growth.Jifeng is accelerating its tech-enabled growth strategy by establishing ajoint venture to develop industrial robots,which we expect to become athird growth driver.Maintain BUY.
Seat revenue growth remained strong
1)For 2Q26,revenue rose by 24.61%YoY and 9.52%QoQ to RMB6,836mn,driven by the passenger vehicle(PV)seat segment.PV seat revenue for 2Q26 grew by 92%YoY and 17%QoQ to arecord high of RMB2,250mn.This segment's quarterly NP was about RMB100mn,with NPM of 4.4%,the second-highest level in the company’s history.By the end of 1H26,Jifeng could point to 35 PV seat projects on hand,with an estimated lifecycle sales value of about RMB120bn.2)Grammer's 2Q26 revenue was EUR499mn(+7.1%YoY,+8.1%QoQ).By region,revenue from Europe was EUR284mn(+1.7%YoY,+9.3%QoQ),with an operating EBIT margin of 7.7%(+4.4pp YoY,+1.0pp QoQ).Revenue from the Americas was EUR83mn(+4.6%YoY,+17.6%QoQ),with an operating EBIT margin of-2.8%(-0.5pp YoY,+2.8pp QoQ).Revenue from Asia-Pacific was EUR144mn(+20.8%YoY,+19.2%QoQ),with an operating EBIT margin of 7.0%(+0.4pp YoY,+0.3pp QoQ).For 2Q26,Grammer's operating EBIT reached EUR23mn(+100.0%YoY,+27.9%QoQ)while NP was EUR14mn(+316.3%YoY,+33.7%QoQ),indicating arobust bottom-line recovery.Currently,Grammer's earnings in three operating regions are improving QoQ.
Quarterly NPM hit arecord high after acquiring Grammer
For 2Q26,GPM widened by 1.84pp YoY and 1.35pp QoQ to 16.23%.We expect GPM to continue expanding,driven by the seat segment's growing economies of scale and deepened Grammer consolidation.The overall expense ratio for 2Q26 fell by 1.18pp YoY and 1.13pp QoQ to 12.10%,reflecting stronger expense control.Asset impairment losses for 2Q26 were RMB32mn,rising significantly YoY and QoQ.Ultimately,NPM for 2Q26 rose by 3.12pp YoY and 1.56pp QoQ to 3.77%,its highest level since Jifeng acquired Grammer in 4Q19.
Promising tech-enabled growth
1)Guided by atech-enabled growth strategy,Jifeng established Ningbo Jiqiao Intelligent Robotics in June 2026 to develop and manufacture industrial robots based on its production lines.This aims to address high labor costs and low efficiency weighing on sewing and assembly processes,which we expect to build astrong competitive edge,especially in overseas markets.2)For 1H26,revenue from intelligent air vents grew by 81.2%YoY to RMB246mn,and revenue from car fridges jumped by 151.0%YoY to RMB187mn.25 orders on hand offer strong growth momentum.3)Meanwhile,the core seat segment remains robust,with shipment expansion and Grammer's reform boosting earnings.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We maintain our 2026/2027/2028 revenue forecasts at RMB26,880/31,580/36,210mn and attributable NP forecasts at RMB772/1,089/1,452mn.We value the stock at 27x 2026E PE,above its peers'average of 24x on iFind consensus to factor in its stronger earnings upside(2026-2028 EPS CAGR of 37%vs peers'21%).Our target price is RMB16.53(previous:RMB17.25,based on 28x 2026E PE).Maintain BUY.
Risks:industry-wide sales volume/overseas consolidation falling short of our expectations,inflation,and raw material price hikes.