Earnings Remain on a Recovery Path
发布时间:2026-05-26 来源:华泰证券
Jifeng Auto Parts(Jifeng)reported 1Q26 results.Revenue reached RMB6.2bn,+23.92%YoY while Attributable NP was RMB132mn,+26.04%YoY.Ex-nonrecurring attributable NP reached RMB112mn,+25.96%YoY.The company disclosed that profit growth was mainly due to the emerging scale effect and stronger profitability of the passenger car seat business during the reporting period.As the company's seat business has abundant high-quality orders on hand,we expect the pace of subsequent mass production to accelerate.With the deep integration of Grammer,the company can now move forward with aclean slate.We expect it to enter acycle of robust profitability realization.Maintain BUY.
Scale effect in seat business kicking in
1)In 1Q26,Jifeng achieved revenue of RMB6.2bn,+23.92%YoY,up substantially from the same period last year.Attributable NP was RMB132mn,+26.04%YoY.Ex-nonrecurring net profit came in at RMB112mn,+25.96%YoY.The company's 1Q26 report disclosed that growth in attributable NP and ex-nonrecurring attributable NP was mainly due to the emerging scale effect in the passenger car seat business and stronger profitability.2)In 1Q26,Grammer's revenue was EUR462mn(-5.2%YoY,+6.4%QoQ).Revenue in Europe was EUR281mn(+1.7%YoY,+9.3%QoQ),with operating EBIT margin at 6.7%(+1.4pp YoY,-4.3pp QoQ).Revenue in the Americas was EUR70mn(-18.9%YoY,-1.1%QoQ),with operating EBIT margin at-5.5%(-4.8pp YoY,+2.6pp QoQ).Revenue in APAC was EUR121mn(-4.8%YoY,+2.6%QoQ),with operating EBIT margin of 6.7%(-1.1pp YoY,-7.3pp QoQ).In 1Q26,Grammer's overall operating EBIT was EUR18mn(-23.4%YoY,-27.4%QoQ),and net profit was EUR10mn(+7.0%YoY,+294.1%QoQ).Net profit improved significantly.At present,Grammer is showing clear improvement in Europe,while the Americas market is yet to recover and APAC faces increasing pressure.
GPM fell QoQ,while expense ratio improved YoY
1)In 1Q26,gross margin was 14.88%,-1.44pp YoY and-2.10pp QoQ.We believe this was mainly due to pressure on overall domestic sales volume and the drag from lower gross margin in Jifeng's headrest and armrest business.At the same time,Grammer's overall gross margin was 13.4%,+0.1pp YoY and-1.2pp QoQ,due to higher raw material costs.We believe the company's gross margin still has room to improve as seat volume continues to ramp up and Grammer improves further.2)In 1Q26,the company's combined four expense ratio was 13.23%,-0.80pp YoY and+0.42pp QoQ,showing YoY improvement.Selling,G&A,R&D,and financial expense ratios were 1.18%,7.65%,2.58%,and 1.81%,respectively.They changed by-0.35pp YoY,-0.40pp YoY,-0.52pp YoY,and+0.46pp YoY,and by-0.15pp QoQ,+0.29pp QoQ,+0.41pp QoQ,and-0.14pp QoQ,respectively.
Tech-enabled growth in 2026,further profit upside at Grammer
1)In 2024-2025,the company continued to deepen Grammer's global reforms,especially reforms at overseas plants in Europe and North America.After moving forward with astreamlined structure,early results emerged in 2025 and should continue to show in 2026.2)Seat projects already cover leading NEV makers,leading domestic brands,and traditional joint-venture customers,with astrong order backlog.We expect scale effects to further compound.3)In 2026,the company will use technology to empower its main business.It could improve the automation and intelligence of enterprise operations through AI and robotics,thereby reducing costs and enhancing efficiency.
Earnings forecast and valuation
We keep our earnings forecasts unchanged.We expect 2026/2027/2028 revenue of RMB26.9bn/RMB31.6bn/RMB36.2bn and attributable NP of RMB772mn/RMB1.1bn/RMB1.5bn.Comparable companies are trading at an average of 28x 2026E PE based on iFind consensus.We now assign the company atarget of 28x 2026E PE and our target price becomes RMB17.25(previously RMB16.29,based on 27x 2026E PE).Maintain BUY.
Risks:Industry sales volume and overseas integration falling short of our expectations,and inflation and raw material costs hike.