Sustained Demand Boosts Earnings
发布时间:2026-08-28 来源:华泰证券
Huate Gas reported 1H26 revenue of RMB870mn(+29.0%YoY),attributable NP of RMB92.8mn(+19.0%YoY),and recurring NP of RMB89.9mn(+19.0%YoY).For 2Q26,revenue reached RMB490mn(+44.0%YoY,+27.0%QoQ),and attributable NP arrived at RMB59.0mn(+76.0%YoY,+74.0%QoQ),beating our preview estimate of RMB50mn primarily on volume growth across select product lines.Given competitive moats in germane raw material supply and tier-1 customer relationships,we believe the company remains well positioned to capture upside from the germane upcycle.Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Specialty gas revenue expands on robust demand
Specialty gases:In 1H26,segment revenue grew+39.0%YoY to RMB590mn as solid downstream semiconductor demand drove smooth product ramp-up,while gross margin contracted 4.4pp YoY to 35.0%on higher unit costs for select products and ongoing industry competition.Helium and related products accounted for~20%of total revenue,with segment sales surging+133.0%YoY.Bulk industrial gases:1H26 segment revenue rose+15.0%YoY to RMB170mn,driven by sales volume growth in core products,while gross margin declined 5.2ppYoY to 13.0%due to cost inflation in certain product lines.In aggregate,1H26 blended gross margin contracted 3.4pp YoY to 30.1%.
Pipeline projects on track;overseas direct sales mix rises
According to the 1H26 report,the"R&D Center Construction Project"and the"Annual 1,936.2-Tonne Electronic Specialty Gas Project"were completed and accepted in August 2026.During the period,new products,including hydrogen bromide(HBr),boron trichloride(BCl3),and sulfur tetrafluoride(SF4)were introduced to the market,achieving commercialization with qualifications and initial shipments delivered to select semiconductor manufacturers.Furthermore,the company continued to make breakthroughs with overseas end-clients,driving growing mix of direct overseas sales and lifting overseas revenue share by 2.0ppYoY to 21.0%in 1H26.
Earnings forecast and valuation
We maintain our 2026-2028 attributable NP forecasts at RMB300mn,RMB400mn,and RMB480mn(+122.0%,+33.0%,and+20.0%YoY),corresponding to EPS of RMB2.36,RMB3.14,and RMB3.77,respectively.Benchmarking against comparable peers'2027E Wind consensus average of 49.0x PE,we apply 49.0x 2027E PE to earnings,deriving atarget price of RMB153.86(previously RMB261.96 based on 111.0x 2026E PE).Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Risks:weaker-than-expected downstream demand,slower-than-expected progress in new projects,substantial raw material price volatility.