3Q26 Profit Resilient Despite Lackluster Domestic Demand
发布时间:2026-11-03 来源:华泰证券
Shenzhen VMAX New Energy(VMAX)reported 3Q26 revenue of RMB1,612mn(-1.58%YoY/+7.17%QoQ),and attributable net profit(NP)of RMB154mn(+0.64%YoY/-0.96%QoQ).For 9M26,revenue was RMB4,479mn(-2.58%YoY)and attributable NP was RMB441mn(+3.67%YoY).Despite pressure on domestic NEV sales in 3Q26,the company delivered robust results,supported by its market-leading overseas expansion.We are positive on the company's auto business,which benefits from product iteration,multi-in-one integration upgrades,and expansion into overseas customers and commercial vehicle scenarios,providing ample growth momentum.Its partnership with TI(Texas Instruments)to enter the AIDC power market opens asecond growth curve,in our view.Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
3Q26 profit YoY rose steadily
For 3Q26,gross margin was 23.67%(+0.66pp YoY/-0.42pp QoQ),with the slight QoQ decline due to changes to the shipment mix;net margin was 9.57%(+0.20ppYoY/-0.79pp QoQ).For 3Q26,the expense ratio was 12.29%(+1.43ppYoY/-0.47pp QoQ),with the R&D expense ratio at 7.80%(+1.27ppYoY/-0.23pp QoQ).The company continued to advance product R&D.In on-board power,VMAX’s fifth-gen products leverage high-frequency design and proprietary patented control technology to simultaneously reduce size,weight,and cost.In e-drive systems,the company is moving from mechanical-level integration toward ahighly electrical multi-in-one architecture.It has also initiated R&D planning for asuper-integrated powertrain domain system.
Auto products/clients/scenarios expanding across dimensions
In the core auto business,VMAX continues to sharpen its competitive edge through product iteration and upgrades,multi-in-one integration,and expansion into new customers and scenarios,injecting momentum into scale growth.Specifically:1)Product iteration:fifth-generation on-board power products have entered mass production and shipments.Thanks to improved manufacturing efficiency and an optimized cost structure,we expect volume to ramp-up.2)Multi-in-one:VMAX is boosting investment in multi-in-one products,aligning with customers'integration trend,which helps lift per-vehicle value.3)Customer expansion:building on existing customers such as Stellantis,Renault,Aston Martin,and Ferrari,the company continues to develop new global customers,steadily advancing its global footprint.4)Scenario extension:the company is expanding into commercial vehicle scenarios,broadening the application boundaries of its products.
AIDC:Partnering with TI to develop AI power
In September,VMAX announced the signing of an MOU with TI,expanding their collaboration from project-level cooperation in NEVs to AI infrastructure.In the AIDC space,TI is to provide full-lifecycle support from market development,chip selection,and solution customization to production ramp-up,while VMAX is to deliver efficient and reliable turnkey solutions tailored to different application scenarios and product requirements.On-board power and data center power share common technology roots in high power density and high reliability.We are positive on the company leveraging its technology and large-scale manufacturing capabilities accumulated in on-board power,along with TI's chip and customer ecosystem,to accelerate its entry into the AIDC power market.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We maintain our 2026/2027/2028 attributable NP forecasts at RMB606/855/1,074mn(24%CAGR over 2026-2028),implying EPS of RMB1.45/2.04/2.56.The average 2027E PE of comparable companies is 12.8x on Wind consensus.We assign the company a12.8x 2027E PE,yielding atarget price of RMB26.11(previous:RMB44.84,on 31x 2026E PE).
Risks:intensifying competition slower market expansion than we expect,and technology upgrade and R&D failure risks.