Profit YoY Rose Fast Amid Product Mix Optimization
发布时间:2026-04-22 来源:华泰证券
Shenzhen VMAX New Energy(VMAX)reported 1Q26 revenue of RMB1,364mn(+0.75%YoY,-21.82%QoQ);attributable NP of RMB131mn(+30.01%YoY,-1.38%QoQ);and recurring attributable NP of RMB113mn(+24.09%YoY,-10.98%QoQ).The company's 1Q26 profit growth outpaced revenue growth,likely benefiting from optimized product shipment structure,on our estimates.As previously secured projects gradually ramp up and breakthroughs continue in new customer qualifications and projects,we think the company's global expansion should yield concrete results.Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
1Q26 GPM/NPM both rose YoY and QoQ
In 1Q26,the company's GPM was 24.03%(+6.14pp YoY,+4.60pp QoQ),likely in our view benefiting from ongoing product upgrades and optimization of the product mix;NPM was 9.61%(+2.14pp YoY,+1.99pp QoQ).For operating expenses,the 1Q26 expense ratio was 13.27%(+1.38pp YoY,+3.19pp QoQ),with sales/administrative/R&D/financial expense ratios at 1.65/3.78/8.07/-0.23%(+0.36/+0.79/+0.59/-0.36pp YoY).As revenue scales up in the future,economies of scale will drive down the expense ratio,likely in our view supporting asteady rise in VMAX’s NPM.
Riding the global electrification boom
In 1Q26,amid factors such as the phase-out of subsidies,domestic NEV sales declined YoY.According to CAAM,China's NEV sales in 1Q26 were 2.96mn units(-3.7%YoY),including 2.006mn units sold domestically(-23.8%YoY).Per NE Times,OBC/electric drive system installations(based on domestic vehicle terminal sales)in 2M26 were 980,000/920,000 units(-26.65/-7.84%YoY).Against this backdrop,the company's 1Q26 revenue still grew YoY,likely in our view due to mass production ramp-ups for designated projects from overseas customers.The company is accelerating its global expansion strategy,allocating more resources to overseas markets where NEV sales are growing rapidly(per CAAM,China's NEV exports in 1Q26 were 954,000 units,+116.2%YoY).Leveraging the cost and technological advantages of domestic supply chains,the company is poised to achieve aleap in overseas market share.We believe the company has sustainable growth potential in overseas customer expansion,which could help mitigate pressure from domestic competition.
Deep diving into NEV powertrain R&D
The company continues to increase R&D investments,focusing on mainstream technology trends in the onboard power supply field,and deepening efforts in product integration,high-voltage(eg,800V)development,functional diversification,and new material applications.This enables rapid responses to customers'customized and diverse product demands,continuously enhancing its global market competitiveness.Additionally,leveraging its technological foundation in power electronics and the outward compatibility of its core products,the company actively explores emerging fields such as AI power supplies,robotics,and the low-altitude economy,identifying potential business development opportunities.This approach helps broaden downstream application scenarios for its products and strengthens business resilience.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We maintain our 2026/2027/2028 attributable NP forecasts at RMB681/855/1,039mn(implying a2026-2028 CAGR of 23%),with 2026/2027/2028 EPS of RMB1.62/2.04/2.48.Based on peers'average 2026E PE of 21.19x on Wind consensus,we assign a2026E PE of 21.19x to derive our target price of RMB34.42(previous:RMB34.69,on 21.35x 2026E PE).
Risks:worsening competition;market expansion falling short of our expectations;technology upgrades and R&D failures.