Direct and Indirect Exports Supported Rapid Profit Growth
发布时间:2026-03-12 来源:华泰证券
Huaming Power Equipment(Huaming)has reported 2025 revenue of RMB2,427mn(+4.50%YoY)and an attributable net profit(NP)of RMB710mn(+15.54%YoY),with earnings growth staying robust.The company ranks No.1 in China and No.2 globally in the on-load tap changer(OLTC)market.As the global power grid investment enters an upcycle,we think that Huaming is well positioned to sustain rapid earnings growth,driven by overseas expansion,maintenance services,and ultra-high-voltage(UHV)businesses.Backed by pronounced first-mover advantages,the company is poised to maintain its domestic leadership and arelatively high GPM,while further expanding overseas market share by leveraging China’s superior manufacturing supply chain,in our view.Maintain BUY.
Rapid overseas expansion driven by direct+indirect exports
In 2025,power equipment/CNC equipment/electricity engineering generated revenues of RMB2,102/244/29mn(+16.05/+39.86/-89.93%YoY).The sharp decline in electricity engineering revenue resulted from the company’s strategic withdrawal from low-GPM segments.In the power-equipment sector,the company maintains close ties with major domestic transformer manufacturers and accesses global market opportunities through advantages in technology,cost,and delivery.It is actively pursuing globalization:the Singapore regional headquarters has been established,the Indonesia plant has commenced operations,and the Turkey plant is running steadily.It has recorded rapid revenue growth across Europe,Brazil,North America and other regions.For 2025,power equipment export revenue was RMB714mn(+47.37%YoY),with direct exports contributing RMB367mn(+34%YoY)and indirect exports contributing RMB347mn(+64%YoY).As exports continue to scale up,overseas profit margins could improve accordingly.For 2025,CNC equipment revenue was RMB244mn(+39.86%YoY),with exports contributing RMB112mn(+229.8%YoY).Huaming’s CNC equipment brand and quality have gained strong recognition in international markets.
UHV market share to continue rising
According to State Grid Corporation of China,fixed-asset investment during the 15th Five-Year Plan(FYP)period could reach RMB4tn,up by 40%vs the 14th FYP period.In our view,domestic OLTC demand could accelerate in line with grid investment.In May 2025,Huaming’s CHVT converter transformer OLTC was commissioned in batches at the Longdong±800kV converter station,breaking the monopoly of overseas suppliers.Assuming an average of four UHV DC projects per year during the 15th FYP period and Huaming’s market share rising to 60%,related revenue could reach RMB220mn,an 18%uplift vs RMB1.19bn of domestic power equipment revenue(excluding maintenance)in 2024.Given the significantly higher GPM of UHV products compared with conventional products,profit upside should exceed revenue growth.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
Global grid investment is entering an upcycle,driven by ageing grids,a rising share of new energy,and increasing electricity consumption.In addition,AIDCs’massive power demand further tightens grid equipment supply.Direct and indirect exports support Huaming’s rapid overseas expansion.We raise our attributable NP forecasts for 2026/2027 by 1.51/5.92%to RMB879/1,089mn(previous:RMB866/1,028mn)and add our 2028 forecast of RMB1,346mn.We value the stock at 41x 2026E PE,in line with its peers’average on Wind consensus,for our target price of RMB40.18(previous:RMB29.50,based on 30.4x 2026E PE).
Risks:weaker grid investment than we expect;raw-material price hikes;international trade risks;forecast assumption risks.