Semiconductor to Become the Major Growth Driver
发布时间:2026-05-17 来源:华泰证券
For 2025, Jingce's revenue was RMB3,348mn (+30.51% YoY), and its attributable net profit was RMB82.02mn (turning profitable YoY). Revenue was in line, but profit missed our estimate due to the drag from the new energy business. For 1Q26, revenue was RMB739mn (+7.26% YoY, -31.33% QoQ), and attributable net profit was RMB42.71mn (+13.61% YoY; turning profitable QoQ). For 2025, semiconductor revenue was RMB1,318mn (+71.60% YoY), and attributable net profit was RMB112mn. As of 27 April 2026, the company's orders on hand amounted to c. RMB4,230mn (semiconductor: c. RMB2,530mn; display: c. RMB980mn; new energy: about RMB720mn). Jingce strategically expands into advanced packaging and deepens strategic cooperation with Hubei Hsingchen. In addition, Jingce announced its intention to increase its equity in a core semiconductor asset, with the company/Shanghai Jingce planning to directly hold a 22.5/27.2% stake in Shanghai PMIPD-Tech. We expect semiconductor to become the company's main growth driver. Maintain BUY.
Turning profitable on growing semiconductor revenue
For 2025, revenue was RMB3,348mn (+30.51% YoY). Specifically, semiconductor revenue was RMB1,318mn (+71.60% YoY, accounting for 39.36%), with GPM of 49.65% (+3.90pp YoY); display revenue was RMB1,755mn (+10.31% YoY, accounting for 52.42%), with GPM of 46.31% (+7.95pp YoY); new energy revenue was RMB169mn (+1.09% YoY, accounting for 5.04%), with GPM of 27.41% (-3.40pp YoY). For 2025, attributable net profit was RMB82.02mn (+184.04% YoY), mainly because the company's optimized business structure and improved operational efficiency meaningfully shored up the semiconductor segment's profitability. As of 27 April 2026, the company's orders on hand amounted to c. RMB4,231mn, including c. RMB2,533mn for semiconductors, RMB979mn for displays, and RMB719mn for new energy (changing by +41.43/-21.12/+73.7% vs orders on hand as of 28 October 2025).
Acquiring VR/AR orders from overseas clients
In 2025, benefiting from the commissioning of G8.6 OLED projects by domestic leaders such as BOE, TCL CSOT, and Visionox, rising investment demand for large/ultra-large LCDs, and the company's growing product competitiveness, the display segment reported revenue of RMB1,755mn (+10.31% YoY), attributable net profit of RMB206mn (+223.46% YoY), and orders on hand of RMB979mn. The company continued to gain orders from overseas top clients' VR projects (Micro OLED micro-displays), AR projects (Display Engine optical engines, Eyepiece modules), and FATP process inspection. For 2025, the company's new energy sales revenue was RMB169mn (+1.09% YoY), and attributable net loss was RMB85.86mn. Going forward, the company will continue to optimize its business structure and adjust its team to address this segment's loss.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
Considering ample orders on hand, we raise our 2026/2027 revenue forecast by 1.63/7.05% to RMB4,107/5,103mn and accordingly lift our attributable net profit forecasts by 1.39/0.66% to RMB375/631mn. We value the stock at 12.2x 2026E PS, below its peers' average of 17.2x on Wind consensus (the sector's overall valuation has trended upward), as the company's panels and new energy segments face revenue and profitability pressures. Our target price is RMB179.10 (previous: RMB101.10, based on 7x 2026E PS).
Risks: Global semiconductor downcycles, weaker semiconductor equipment demand than we expect, intensified competition.