Rising Capacity Utilization Improved GPM
发布时间:2026-05-13 来源:华泰证券
For 2025,Hoshion's revenue was RMB4,011mn(+20.34%YoY),and attributable net profit was RMB155mn(+92.47%YoY),in line with the company profit alert of RMB132-177mn).For 4Q25,revenue was RMB1,303mn(+23.10%YoY,+22.75%QoQ),and attributable net profit was RMB55mn(+119.50%YoY,-3.83%QoQ).For 1Q26,revenue was RMB1,014mn(+36.82%YoY,-22.16%QoQ),and attributable net profit was RMB25mn(+104.65%YoY,-54.95%QoQ).In 2025 and 1Q26,profit growth outpaced revenue growth,possibly because rising capacity utilization improved GPM.Looking ahead,we expect arising proportion of high-value-added products to continue lifting profitability.Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
4Q25/1Q26 profitability improved YoY
For 4Q25,GPM/NPM was 17.26/4.17%(+3.15/+1.84pp YoY).For 1Q26,GPM/NPM was 12.97/2.36%(+1.76/+0.71pp YoY).For 4Q25/1Q26,profitability improved,benefiting mainly from rising capacity utilization.For 4Q25/1Q26,the overall expense ratio was 11.23/10.85%(+1.30/-0.29pp YoY).Specifically,the R&D expense ratio climbed by 1.45/0.92pp YoY on growing expenses allocated to new products and technologies.
NEV parts:rapid sales&output growth improved profitability
For 2025,revenue from automotive components was RMB2,770mn(+30.49%YoY),accounting for 69.05%,and GPM climbed by 3.30pp YoY to 12.52%,mainly as rapid output and sales improved capacity utilization.Hoshion's widening portfolio now covers die-cast and composite material lower boxes,automotive chassis components,battery structural components,and energy storage system components.In 2025,it was included in Mercedes-Benz's global aluminum alloy profile supplier list,having obtained the qualification required to directly supply aluminum alloy profiles to Mercedes-Benz's global production bases and tier-1 suppliers.We expect this to lift the revenue contribution of automotive components and optimize Hoshion's product structure.
Consumer electronics:closer cooperation with leaders
For 2025,revenue from consumer electronics and durable consumer goods was RMB1,019mn(+8.87%YoY),and GPM was 20.52%(-0.19pp YoY).The company's products cover consumer electronics boards such as mobile phone mid-frames and back covers,precision structural components such as computer hard drive magnetic disk arms,and appearance structural components such as mobile power bank casings.While expanding its product spectrum,Hoshion is deepening cooperation with leading electronics manufacturing service enterprises.In addition,it is tracking popular applications such as AI.Capitalizing on robust material R&D/manufacturing processes and sound track records in diverse use cases,Hoshion is actively shaping new growth drivers.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
For automotive components,accelerated order acquisitions from global customers could enhance capacity utilization.We thus raise our revenue growth and GPM assumptions,and lift our 2026/2027 attributable net profit forecast by 18.53/26.66%to RMB238/293mn.We add our 2028 forecast of RMB353mn(2026-2028 CAGR:31.61%),implying 2026/2027/2028 EPS of RMB0.76/0.94/1.13.We value the stock at 37x 2026E PE,above its peers'average of 30x on Wind consensus,as the company's strong presence in the high-end industrial aluminum alloy sector and deep cooperation with high-quality clients in diverse downstream sectors continue to strengthen its overall competitiveness.We raise our target price to RMB28.28(previous:RMB22.01,based on 34x 2026E PE).
Risks:NEV shipments falling short of our expectations,intensified competition,order losses.