YoY Improvement in NPM Continued to Widen
发布时间:2026-09-04 来源:华泰证券
Monalisa Group has released its interim report:1H26 revenue was RMB1,749mn(-8.66%YoY);the attributable NP was RMB49.3mn(+970.18%YoY);and the recurring NP was RMB50.1mn(+409.55%YoY).In 2Q26,revenue was RMB1,115mn(-9.24%YoY,+75.93%QoQ),and the attributable NP was RMB67.4mn(+25.80%YoY,+472.14%QoQ).For 2Q26,the attributable NP exceeded our expectation of RMB49mn,owing to the reversal of asset impairment losses in 2Q26,which drove earnings improvement.Considering the company's high proportion of distribution revenue,further contraction in accounts receivable,and notable improvement in operational quality,we maintain BUY.
1H26 engineering business decline narrowed
For 1H26,the company's glazed ceramic tiles/non-glazed ceramic tiles/ceramic panels generated revenues of RMB1.43bn/47mn/236mn,-8.2/-33.3/+2.9%YoY.By sales channel,distribution/engineering strategic business revenues were RMB1.436bn/313mn,-9.61/-4.00%YoY,with the decline in the engineering business narrowing.For 1H26,the gross margin was 25.05%,+0.09pp YoY.The slight YoY improvement in the overall gross margin in 1H26 was attributable to the company's continued cost reduction in production,which partially offset the cost pressure from rising raw material and fuel prices.For 2Q26,the gross margin was 25.2%,changing by-1.67pp YoY and+0.4pp QoQ.In 1H26,the absolute amount of opex fell by 21.3%YoY to RMB325mn,driving the opex ratio down by 2.99pp YoY to 18.57%,with the selling/administrative/R&D/finance expense ratios at 5.0/9.8/3.2/0.5%,-0.8/-0.8/-0.6/-0.8pp YoY,reflecting continued refined cost control.
1H26 expense ratio control stringent
In 1H26,total credit and asset impairment losses were RMB12mn,RMB14mn less YoY.In 2Q26,impairment reversals totaled RMB11mn,which boosted the attributable NP.For 1H26,the attributable NP margin was 2.82%,+3.12pp YoY,with the YoY improvement in the NP margin expanding.In 2Q26,the attributable NP margin was 6.0%,+1.7pp YoY and+8.9pp QoQ.As of end-1H26,the net book value of accounts receivable was RMB425mn,-34.7%YoY.The company's asset-liability ratio was 46.0%,-5.19pp YoY,possibly due to partial debt repayment.During the reporting period,the company adhered to both efficiency-first and risk control,deepened its lean management system,optimized inventory management,reduced opex YoY,and improved management efficiency.
Technology&management fueled an improvement in profit
Monalisa is positioning itself to deepen high-quality development.In 2026,its priority is"customer focus,product leadership,and lean operations."In terms of channels,it adheres to the"distribution business+engineering business"model,advances new retail and whole-home decoration businesses,and upgrades its delivery system.In technological innovation,it relies on multiple research platforms to build afull-chain innovation system,launching several new products in 1H26,and its ammonia-hydrogen zero-carbon(low-carbon)combustion technology production line passed appraisal.In ahighly competitive industry environment,the company leverages its technological and brand advantages to consolidate its market position and enhance its competitiveness.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
We maintain our 2026/2027/2028 attributable NP forecasts at RMB165/202/229mn(three-year CAGR of 63.43%),with EPS of RMB0.40/0.49/0.56.Referencing its peers’average 2026 PE of 25x on Wind consensus,and considering the company's expanding YoY improvement in NP margin and significant reduction in receivables,we assign 32x 2026 PE and maintain our target price at RMB12.80.
Risks:Sharp increases in raw material and energy costs;intensified competition;risk of receivables impairment.