LT Profitability Recovery Trend
发布时间:2026-05-27 来源:华泰证券
Vatti Corp’s 2025 and 1Q26 results: For 2025, revenue was RMB5,648mn (-11.36% YoY) and attributable net profit was RMB301mn (-37.90% YoY). For 4Q25, revenue came in at RMB1,490mn (-17.03% YoY) with an attributable net loss of RMB55mn (-167.71% YoY). Full-year net profit missed our estimate of RMB453mn, as the kitchen appliance industry faced broad-based demand deceleration amid downstream pressure from the property sector. In 1Q26, revenue reached RMB1,186mn (-5.86% YoY) and attributable net profit was RMB101mn (-4.88% YoY). We expect kitchen appliance demand to stabilize and then recover modestly as the property market shows marginal improvement, which should gradually drive an earnings recovery. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Revenue growth remained under pressure
By product, for 2025, revenue from range hoods/gas stoves/water heaters was RMB2,426/1,486/1,003mn, down 11.32/3.07/20.54% YoY. All three core product lines posted YoY declines to varying degrees, as the recovery in new home sales fell short of our expectations. By channel, offline revenue was RMB2,749mn (-12.66% YoY), online revenue was RMB1,910mn (-7.22% YoY) and the engineering channel generated RMB169mn (-43.63% YoY). While revenue growth remained under pressure, Vatti accelerated the optimization of its offline store formats and mix, and launched new retail partnerships with platforms such as JD.com and Tmall. The YoY revenue decline narrowed in 1Q26, partly helped by a lower base.
Product mix upgrade drives steady gross margin recovery
Gross margin reached 42.51% in 2025, up 1.80pp YoY. Offline and online channel gross margins rose 3.79pp and 0.77pp YoY, respectively, driven by a higher shipment mix of mid-to-premium range hoods and gas stoves in the offline channel, reflecting product mix optimization. The selling expense ratio was 26.35%, up 1.50pp YoY and the gross margin less selling expense ratio stood at 16.16%, up 0.30pp YoY. Gross margin continued to recover sequentially and YoY in 1Q26, reaching 44.79%. However, with relatively rigid personnel costs, the admin & R&D expense ratio rose 0.62pp and 0.46pp YoY in 2025 and 1Q26, respectively.
Refining multi-channel footprint
In 2025, Vatti took measures to revitalize offline terminals, achieving improvements in category scale and product mix, which in turn lifted gross margin. Online, the focus was on building hero products and penetrating the premium segment. During the 2025 Double 11 shopping festival, the Xiaofeidie and Xiaofeiyi series achieved double-digit YoY sales growth against the industry trend, supported by strong product experience and brand reputation.
Earnings forecasts and valuation
Given the weak recovery in new home sales, we trim our 2026/2027 attributable net profit forecasts to RMB351/392mn (down 24.69/22.00% vs our prior projections) and introduce our 2028 attributable net profit forecast of RMB422mn, implying EPS of RMB0.41/0.46/0.50. As of 28 April 2026, peers trade at 15x 2026E PE on Wind consensus. Factoring in the company’s ongoing profitability recovery and earnings growth upside potential this year, we apply a modest premium and value the stock at 17x 2026E PE, deriving a target price of RMB6.97 (previous RMB7.42, based on 14x 2025E PE). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Risks: Intensifying market competition, adverse raw material price fluctuations, property market volatility.