New Energy Equipment Ramp-up Fueled a Jump in GPM
发布时间:2026-08-18 来源:华泰证券
Yutong Heavy Industries (YTHI) reported its 1H26 results, with revenue of RMB1,499mn (-9.72% YoY), attributable NP of RMB103mn (-13.10% YoY; +44.51% YoY after excluding the impact of the controlling stake transfers in Aolande and Lvyuan), and recurring NP of RMB83.41mn (+18.59% YoY). In 2Q26, revenue was RMB848mn (-11.03% YoY, +30.23% QoQ), and attributable NP was RMB58.54mn (-12.84% YoY, +31.21% QoQ), in line with our forecast range of RMB55-90mn. The company’s 1H26 gross margin was 23.16% (+3.87pp YoY), with the ramp-up of new-energy sanitation equipment and new-energy mining equipment driving ongoing improvement in the earnings mix. The company announced its 2026 interim dividend plan (RMB0.1/share, payout ratio of 51.6%) and its second restricted share incentive plan (2.41mn shares, grant price of RMB4.73/share, 51 participants). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Sanitation equipment: market share rebounded
In 1H26, nationwide sanitation equipment registrations reached 43,048 units (+9.8% YoY), sustaining the recovery trend. NEV registrations reached 11,874 units (+90.0% YoY), with the NEV penetration rate at 27.6% (+11.7pp YoY). The number of cities purchasing NEV vehicles increased to 214 (+43 YoY), and the penetration rate in tier-3 and below cities rose from 11.6% to 22.0%, indicating a clear trajectory of demand moving to lower tiers of cities. In 1H26, the company's sanitation equipment revenue was RMB613mn, with sales of 1,581 units (+22.84% YoY), of which NEV sales grew 15.73% YoY. Based on registration data, we estimate the company’s market share at c. 3.7% (vs c. 3.3% in 1H25), returning to a share-gaining trajectory after the strategic volume control in 2025. YTHI launched new-generation cleaning products such as the 18t pure-electric wash-sweep vehicle and 25t pure-electric cleaning vehicle, as well as the 18t silent version wash-sweep vehicle, with the ‘chassis + superstructure’ integrated barrier continuing to translate into product structure premiums.
Fine-tune earnings forecasts with a target price of RMB13.80
We forecast the company’s 2026/2027/2028 attributable NP at RMB320/355/ 376mn (down 0.18/0.29/0.38% vs our previous forecasts, 3Y CAGR at 6.68%), with EPS of RMB0.60/0.67/0.71. We assign YTHI a 23x 2026E PE, in line with its peers' average on Wind consensus, deriving our target price of RMB13.80 (previous: RMB14.40, based on 24x 2026E PE).
Risks: asset/credit impairments exceeding our expectations; sanitation equipment sales falling short of our expectations.